Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 36

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Romeo Menti (Vicenza)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Vicenza Virtus		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.95	5.3
	1.52	3.98	6.38
	1.67	3.65	4.69
	1.5	3.5	5.5
	1.6	3.85	5.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.43)	3.79 ↓ (3.99)	5.47 ↓ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
58.8%

Draw
24.3%

Novara
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

22.9%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.8%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vicenza Virtus's form might have worsened.

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Vicenza Virtus - Novara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Gagno R. (G) 27. Sandon T. 14. Cuomo G. 6. Leverbe M. 44. Talarico R. 29. Zonta L. 99. Vitale M. 4. Carraro M. 28. Caferri L. 7. Rauti N. 9. Morra C.	1. Boseggia E. (G) 29. Cannavaro A. 26. Lorenzini F. 3. Lartey S. 70. Valdesi A. 99. Basso G. (C) 19. Collodel R. 72. Agyemang G. 21. Ranieri R. 11. Ledonne N. 20. da Graca C.
Substitutes
23. Benassai F. 22. Bianchi G. (G) 10. Capello A. 5. Cappelletti D. 8. Cavion M. 13. Golin M. 12. Massolo S. (G) 77. Rada A. 11. Stuckler D. 19. Tribuzzi A. 33. Vescovi M.	9. Alberti T. 32. Andreotti R. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 17. Dell'Erba D. 8. Di Cosmo L. 10. Donadio C. 7. Lanini E. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 12. Rossetti M. (G) 2. Scarpetta J. 77. Sibilio R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Rauti N. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Ledonne N. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 1 - 1, Ledonne N. ⚽,
45+6', 2 - 1, Caferri L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Morra C. ↓, Stuckler D. ↑,
46', 3 - 1, Stuckler D. ⚽,
63', Vitale M. ↓, Rada A. ↑,
63', Sandon T. ↓, Vescovi M. ↑,
66', Ranieri R. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
66', Valdesi A. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
70', da Graca C. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
74', Basso G. ↓, Donadio C. ↑,
75', Rauti N. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
75', Zonta L. ↓, Cavion M. ↑,
77', Cannavaro A. 🟨,
83', Ledonne N. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
90+4', Caferri L. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 12).

Vicenza Virtus is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vicenza Virtus won 2.

Vicenza Virtus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Novara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Vicenza Virtus is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vicenza Virtus won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vicenza Virtus won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Vicenza Virtus - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 63.99%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
03.04.26	Lecco - Vicenza Virtus	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Vicenza Virtus - Brescia	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Renate - Vicenza Virtus	1:3 ✺
16.03.26	Vicenza Virtus - Inter U23	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Giana Erminio - Vicenza Virtus	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWWW
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
03.04.26	Novara - Lumezzane	1:3 ✺
28.03.26	Renate - Novara	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Novara - Alcione	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Lecco - Novara	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Novara - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
07.12.25	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	2:2
13.03.25	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	1:0
29.10.24	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	0:0
07.04.24	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	2:1
03.12.23	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	2:2
01.02.23	Vicenza Virtus - Novara	1:2
02.10.22	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	3:0

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