Match Info

First League - Round 22

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Taraz		Khan Tengri

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.80	4.10
	1.47	4.6	4.4
	1.45	5.73	4.4	Watch
	1.46	4.5	4.25
	1.44	5.15	4.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	4.96 ↓ (5.73)	4.37 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taraz
61.3%

Draw
18.1%

Khan Tengri
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

16%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

15.3%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taraz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Khan Tengri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taraz than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khan Tengri than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Emirov R. ⚽, Abdullaev B. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Kemelbek S. ⚽, Baytana B. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Sarsenbek R. ⚽, Abdrakhmanov A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 2 - 2, Lesbek D. ⚽, Torebek T. (A),
86', 3 - 2, Moldakaraev Z. ⚽, Baytana B. (A),
90+3', 3 - 3, Turgunbayev A. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Taraz is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taraz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Taraz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Taraz	23	8	6	9	30:32	-2	30
10	Khan Tengri	23	7	4	12	29:44	-15	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Taraz
Kazakh First League
03.09.26	Astana 2 - Taraz	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Taraz - Tobol 2	3:1 ✺
20.08.26	Arys - Taraz	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Taraz - Turan Turkistan	0:0 ✺
30.07.26	Taraz - Akademiya Ontustik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWTTW
- Khan Tengri FC
Kazakh First League
03.09.26	Shakhter Karagandy - Khan Tengri	4:0 ✺
28.08.26	Khan Tengri - Astana 2	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Tobol 2 - Khan Tengri	3:4 ✺
15.08.26	Khan Tengri - Arys	0:0 ✺
06.08.26	Akademiya Ontustik - Khan Tengri	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
19.06.26	Khan Tengri - Taraz	2:1
17.07.24	Taraz - Khan Tengri	0:1
10.05.24	Khan Tengri - Taraz	0:0
17.08.23	Taraz - Khan Tengri	2:1
09.05.23	Khan Tengri - Taraz	2:0

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