Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tarazona		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.88	2.75
	2.5	2.92	3.27
	2.68	2.8	2.94	Watch
	2.5	2.63	2.8
	2.52	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.76)	2.82 ↓ (2.89)	2.91 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
36%

Draw
32.5%

Atlético Madrid B
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

31.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31.7%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Atlético Madrid B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Tarazona - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Madrid B (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Amigo A. (G) 16. Delmas J. 4. Trilles M. (C) 3. Martinez Chechu 14. Borge A. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Carrasco O. 8. Ramon T. 21. Nieto C. 17. Jimenez A. 10. Aguero	1. de Luis M. (G) 4. Bonar J. 15. Puric A. 5. Martinez D. 22. Perovic M. 6. Serrano J. (C) 18. Bellotti M. 7. Luque I. 9. Llorente R. 23. Ortiz A. 30. Llorente M.
Substitutes
19. Armero S. 9. Cubillas D. 1. Josele (G) 2. Lopez A. 20. Martinez J. 7. Soto D. 5. Traore B. 22. Vaquero	20. Barboza M. 10. Belaid R. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 31. Coulibaly I. (G) 3. Diaz J. 37. Grant C. 11. Koke 17. Monserrate J. 14. Morcillo J. 24. Najera R. 21. Sits D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Puric A. 🟨,
28', Perovic M. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Aguero (Penalty Awarded),
35', Aguero 🟨,
45+5', Ramon T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Llorente M. ↓, Belaid R. ↑,
46', Bellotti M. ↓, Monserrate J. ↑,
46', Perovic M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
58', Jimenez A. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Llorente R. ⚽,
65', Aguero ↓, Soto D. ↑,
66', Diaz J. 🟨,
68', Llorente R. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Ortiz A. ⚽,
77', Ramon T. 🟨,
82', Llorente R. ↓, Sits D. ↑,
82', Delmas J. ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
82', Borge A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
82', Nieto C. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Ortiz A. ⚽,
90+1', Ortiz A. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 4, Belaid R. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Atlético Madrid B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tarazona won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Tarazona - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 32.69%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Atlético Madrid B - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.03.26	Tarazona - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Ibiza - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tarazona - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	CE Europa - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Tarazona - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TLWTL
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.03.26	Atlético Madrid B - Hércules	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Sevilla B - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:2 ✺
13.02.26	Atlético Sanluqueño - Atlético Madrid B	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Atlético Madrid B - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.01.26	Atlético Madrid B - Tarazona	1:1

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