Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 5

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Tarazona		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.9	2.45
	2.8	2.8	2.45
	2.95	2.9	2.55
	2.96	2.89	2.66
	2.88	2.84	2.57	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.53
	2.95	2.9	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.14)	2.87 ↓ (3.07)	2.54 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
31.8%

Draw
32%

Real Unión de Irun
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.8%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.9%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarazona's form might have worsened.

Real Unión de Irun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Unión de Irun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarazona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Unión de Irun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Tarazona - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tarazona will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Real Unión will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 4. Trilles M. 5. Murria V. 22. Llacer L. 19. Fuentes A. 23. Rico M. 14. Buyla J. 11. Martin J. 9. Cubillas D. 21. Pradera M.	13. Wright J. (G) 19. Eimil V. 5. Dominguez J. 6. Quintana A. 24. Munroe F. 21. San Bartolome V. 10. Rivero Q. 22. Garrido D. 16. Vidorreta A. 7. Aranzabe A. 11. Obieta K.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez M. 7. Areso J. 16. Camero M. 12. Cedeno E. 17. Gil I. 3. Martinez Chechu 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 15. Rodriguez J. 8. Romero B.	9. Benito A. 3. Carlos J. 17. Cayarga B. 18. Lozano A. 15. Mosquera Y. 4. Olaortua I. 25. Perez C. (G) 2. Santos S. 20. Sergio Benito 1. Txusta (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Bilbao I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alvarez M. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
46', Lozano A. ↓, Olaortua I. ↑,
46', Aranzabe A. ↓, Vidorreta A. ↑,
46', San Bartolome V. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
58', Rico M. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
58', Buyla J. ↓, Cedeno E. ↑,
62', Bilbao I. ↓, Mosquera Y. ↑,
75', Llacer L. 🟨,
79', Benito A. 🟨,
80', Areso J. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
80', Benito A. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tarazona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tarazona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.24	Tarazona - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Tarazona - FC Andorra	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Zamora - Tarazona	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Tarazona - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TLLWW
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
28.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Sestao	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Osasuna B - Real Unión de Irun	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Real Unión de Irun - Celta de Vigo B	3:2 ✺
25.08.24	Barcelona B - Real Unión de Irun	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.01.24	Tarazona - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
08.10.23	Real Unión de Irun - Tarazona	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.05.21	Tarazona - Real Unión de Irun	1:2
07.04.21	Real Unión de Irun - Tarazona	1:0

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