Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 22Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished Location: Nike Arena (Elva) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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 Usa | 08:00 | SportsEngine Play |
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Elva |
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Tartu Welco |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.60 |
3.90 |
1.70 |
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 |
4.20 |
4.10 |
1.54 |
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3.42 |
4.27 |
1.76 |
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3.20 |
4.05 |
1.75 |
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3.68 |
4.10 |
1.71 |
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3.50 |
3.95 |
1.72 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.6 ↓
(4.31) |
4.06 ↓
(4.25) |
1.7 ↑
(1.56) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Elva
24.9% | Draw
22.1% | Tartu Welco
52.9% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Tartu Welco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elva that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tartu Welco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Elva - Tartu Welco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Mbuthia J. ⚽, Ilves E. (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Jaagant R. ⚽, Mbuthia J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 87', 2 - 1, Songisepp A. ⚽, Mugra M. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 1.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Recently, Elva has had a series of away games. In this match, Tartu Welco is a strong favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elva won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:27. (average 1.9:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Elva won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tartu Welco ✔ | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 99:44 | 55 | 77 |
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| 5 | Elva | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:51 | -1 | 53 |
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Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 01.06.26 | Elva - Tartu Welco | 0:2 | | 27.04.26 | Tartu Welco - Elva | 3:3 | | 27.10.25 | Tartu Welco - Elva | 3:2 | | 04.08.25 | Elva - Tartu Welco | 1:2 | | 14.06.25 | Tartu Welco - Elva | 2:5 | | 15.03.25 | Elva - Tartu Welco | 3:1 | | 28.09.24 | Elva - Tartu Welco | 0:1 |
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