Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 19Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Maarjamae staadion (Tallinn)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Levadia Tallinn U21 |
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Tallinna Kalev |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.75 |
4.00 |
3.30 |
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1.75 |
4.00 |
3.15 |
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1.68 |
4.27 |
3.62 |
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1.8 |
4.28 |
3.28 |
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1.66 |
4.15 |
3.50 |
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1.82 |
4.50 |
3.38 |
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1.78 |
4.00 |
3.20 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(2.31) |
4.17 ↑
(3.98) |
3.35 ↑
(2.33) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Levadia Tallinn U21
51.5% | Draw
21.6% | Tallinna Kalev
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Levadia Tallinn U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Levadia Tallinn U21's performance.Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn U21 than the current prediction. (-12.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levadia Tallinn U21 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tallinna Kalev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Svedovski A. ⚽, Kompus K. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Sambe M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 57', Sal-Al-Saller D. 🟥,
- 62', 3 - 0, Lehtmets G. ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, Mihhailov V. ⚽,
- 81', Liiv H. 🟥,
- 83', Sikk A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', 3 - 2, Ilves R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadia U21 won 2.Levadia U21 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Kalev's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Levadia U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Levadia U21 might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Levadia U21 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.9:2.6).Including home matches between the teams, Levadia U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 2.3:3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Levadia U21 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 61:55 | 6 | 47 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 52:55 | -3 | 40 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Levadia Tallinn U21 - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 38.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 31.05.26 | Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21 | 1:2 | | 23.04.26 | Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev | 3:2 | | 11.09.21 | Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21 | 2:2 | | 20.08.21 | Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21 | 5:0 | | 21.05.21 | Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev | 3:4 | | 19.10.17 | Levadia Tallinn U21 - Tallinna Kalev | 0:2 | | 29.07.17 | Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21 | 2:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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