The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tarxien Rainbows 13.1%
Draw 20.4%
Naxxar Lions 66.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.9%
25.8%
45.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
25.8%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tarxien Rainbows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tarxien Rainbows's form might have worsened.
Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naxxar Lions's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarxien Rainbows, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-21.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cassar A. (C) 4. D'Alessandro M. 11. Erico Junior 77. Grima M. 6. Kuku A. 9. Lokosa A. 33. Musulin M. 54. Panic P. 7. Valverde A. 74. Vella A. 8. Wesley Hudson
1. Debono M. (G) 10. Farias E. (C) 7. Fenech M. 5. Gustavo Felipe 3. JP Iseppe 18. Letherby D. 9. Pahama N. 19. Rosiel 4. Theo Kruger 24. Vinicius Baiano 11. Vitinho
Substitutes
17. Bird N. 22. Bird T. 20. Borg L. 10. Claudio Murici 29. Donsu K. 88. Gatt K. 18. Mizzi S. 23. Nhayson 70. Schmidt P. 94. Spiteri M. (G) 21. Vella K.
80. Azzopardi J. (G) 17. Bugeja F. 13. Bugeja S. 14. Gauci C. 30. Guehi S. 22. Kontchou C. 21. Micallef M. 15. Montero Y. 8. Pace Cocks N. 25. Portelli O. 99. Vella A. (G)
Coaches
Scerri J.
Muscat W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', D'Alessandro M. 🟨,
29', Vinicius Baiano 🟨,
29', Farias E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
51', D'Alessandro M. 🟥,
53', 0 - 2, Vitinho (Penalty Awarded),
54', Musulin M. ↓, Donsu K. ↑,
54', Wesley Hudson ↓, Nhayson ↑,
54', Erico Junior ↓, Claudio Murici ↑,
55', Panic P. 🟨,
61', Valverde A. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Donsu K. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 1.
Recent form of Tarxien has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Naxxar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Naxxar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tarxien has had a series of away games.
Naxxar will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tarxien won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).
Malta
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Cassar A. (C) 
Erico Junior 
Kuku A. 
Lokosa A. 
Musulin M. 
Panic P. 
Valverde A. 
Pahama N. 
Donsu K. 
Schmidt P. 
Kontchou C. 
Montero Y. 
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