Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Naxxar Lions		Sliema Wanderers

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.66	3.77	1.74
	3.93	3.59	1.81	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.7
	4.35	3.52	1.76
	4.33	3.6	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (4.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
21.3%

Draw
25.8%

Sliema Wanderers
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

25.6%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.7%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Naxxar Lions - Sliema Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Debono M. (G) 20. Costa Goncalves G. 7. Fenech M. (C) 5. Gustavo Felipe 33. Joao Moura 3. JP Iseppe 22. Kontchou C. 18. Letherby D. 15. Montero Y. 24. Vinicius Baiano 11. Vitinho	25. Agu E. (G) 77. Awad M. 2. Borg J. 11. Djuranovic U. 15. Gustavo Alcino 10. Montebello L. 31. Murilo Henrique 70. Pisani S. (C) 12. Prsa R. 93. Thiaguinho 20. Wescley
Substitutes
80. Azzopardi J. (G) 26. Borg J. 13. Bugeja F. 10. Farias E. 29. Fenech J. 14. Gauci C. 30. Guehi S. 21. Micallef M. 8. Pace Cocks N. 25. Portelli O. 4. Theo Kruger	18. Agius E. 22. Al Tumi R. (G) 94. Fernandinho 5. Frendo N. 1. Lauri F. (G) 3. Micallef N. 7. Overend A. 9. Plut V. 19. Seruca A. 6. Stagno A. 21. Strickland N.
Coaches
Muscat W.	Doffo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Gustavo Alcino 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Montebello L. 🟨,
66', Montebello L. ↓, Overend A. ↑,
66', Awad M. ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
74', Costa Goncalves G. 🟨,
74', Fenech M. ↓, Pace Cocks N. ↑,
74', Montero Y. ↓, Guehi S. ↑,
80', Wescley ↓, Plut V. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Vitinho ⚽,
88', Vitinho ↓, Theo Kruger ↑,
90', Debono M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Djuranovic U. ⚽,
90+3', Gustavo Felipe 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 8 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sliema Wanderers is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:19. (average 1.3:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sliema	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
07.02.26	Hamrun Spartans - Naxxar Lions	4:0 ✺
04.02.26	Naxxar Lions - Mosta	5:0 ✺
01.02.26	Valletta - Naxxar Lions	4:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.26	Swieqi United - Naxxar Lions	2:4 ✺
Maltese Premier League
23.01.26	Naxxar Lions - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLWW
- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
08.02.26	Mosta - Sliema Wanderers	0:1 ✺
03.02.26	Marsaxlokk - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hamrun Spartans - Sliema Wanderers	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	1:3 ✺
16.01.26	Sliema Wanderers - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
28.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions	0:4
17.01.25	Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions	4:0
07.11.24	Naxxar Lions - Sliema Wanderers	0:3
20.04.24	Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions	0:0
17.12.23	Naxxar Lions - Sliema Wanderers	1:4
Maltese Challenge League
25.02.23	Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions	3:1
27.08.22	Naxxar Lions - Sliema Wanderers	1:2

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