Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 19

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Rizoski V. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Valletta		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.54	3.98	5.38
	1.52	4.1	5.37	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.75
	1.48	3.78	6.2
	1.52	3.66	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.46)	3.82 ↓ (3.95)	5.53 ↓ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valletta
59.9%

Draw
23.7%

Naxxar Lions
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

22.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

22.2%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valletta than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Valletta - Naxxar Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Maringa Adilson (G) 29. Adebayo A. 11. Azzopardi J. 28. Brewer S. 33. Mbende E. 44. Micallef N. 10. Paiber B. (C) 55. Radic S. 77. Thaylor 20. Yankam Y. 50. Yuri	1. Debono M. (G) 7. Fenech M. (C) 5. Gustavo Felipe 33. Joao Moura 3. JP Iseppe 21. Micallef M. 15. Montero Y. 9. Pahama N. 19. Rosiel 24. Vinicius Baiano 11. Vitinho
Substitutes
1. Aquilina T. (G) 9. Ciolacu A. 3. Ellul M. 19. Ewurum K. 13. Frendo L. (G) 99. Meijer S. 31. Melillo T. 98. Mendoza J. 24. Muscat R. 18. Ohaka P. 8. Zammit A.	26. Borg J. 17. Bugeja F. 14. Gauci C. 30. Guehi S. 31. Hudson M. 22. Kontchou C. 18. Letherby D. 8. Pace Cocks N. 25. Portelli O. 16. Sanchez E. 99. Vella A. (G)
Coaches
Micallef T.	Muscat W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Montero Y. ⚽,
6', Thaylor 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Vitinho ⚽,
33', Vinicius Baiano 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Adebayo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Micallef N. ↓, Ellul M. ↑,
47', Rosiel 🟨,
57', Montero Y. ↓, Guehi S. ↑,
57', 2 - 2, Adebayo A. ⚽,
59', 3 - 2, Yuri ⚽,
65', Debono M. 🟨,
66', 4 - 2, Yuri (Penalty Awarded),
69', Fenech M. ↓, Pace Cocks N. ↑,
70', Pahama N. 🟨,
74', Paiber B. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
82', Thaylor ↓, Zammit A. ↑,
85', Micallef M. ↓, Gauci C. ↑,
85', JP Iseppe ↓, Kontchou C. ↑,
85', Yankam Y. ↓, Melillo T. ↑,
85', Adebayo A. ↓, Ewurum K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Valletta is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Valletta will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Valletta won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.6:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Valletta won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Valletta	6	4	1	1	15:6	9	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valletta FC
Maltese FA Trophy
28.01.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Valletta	0:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
24.01.26	Valletta - Hamrun Spartans	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Mosta - Valletta	0:5 ✺
10.01.26	Floriana - Valletta	0:0 ✺
07.01.26	Valletta - Birkirkara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTWTW
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.26	Swieqi United - Naxxar Lions	2:4 ✺
Maltese Premier League
23.01.26	Naxxar Lions - Żabbar St. Patrick	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Floriana - Naxxar Lions	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Naxxar Lions - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0 ✺
08.01.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
05.10.25	Naxxar Lions - Valletta	0:1
28.04.24	Naxxar Lions - Valletta	4:0
07.01.24	Valletta - Naxxar Lions	1:2
13.01.18	Naxxar Lions - Valletta	0:1
10.09.17	Valletta - Naxxar Lions	0:0
01.03.16	Valletta - Naxxar Lions	4:0
10.01.16	Naxxar Lions - Valletta	1:2

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