Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 13

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Taubaté		Piracicaba

	1	X	2
	2.58	2.98	2.58
	2.73	2.9	2.82
	2.68	2.83	2.73	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.57	3.35	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (3.25)	2.97 ↓ (3.09)	2.69 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taubaté
34.9%

Draw
30.9%

Piracicaba
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

29.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.7%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taubaté has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taubaté's performance.

Piracicaba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Piracicaba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taubaté that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Piracicaba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Taubaté - Piracicaba Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Taubaté will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Taubaté (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Taubaté (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Macario ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taubaté won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Taubaté may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Taubaté won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Taubaté won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Piracicaba - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
21.02.26	Água Santa - Taubaté	2:3 ✺
18.02.26	Taubaté - Santo André	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul	3:3 ✺
11.02.26	Votuporanguense - Taubaté	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Taubaté - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTTWL
- XV de Piracicaba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
22.02.26	Piracicaba - Internacional de Limeira	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Linense - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Piracicaba - Ituano	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Piracicaba - São José-SP	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.03.25	Piracicaba - Taubaté	1:3
17.01.24	Taubaté - Piracicaba	1:1
18.01.23	Piracicaba - Taubaté	1:1
12.03.22	Taubaté - Piracicaba	0:0
28.04.21	Piracicaba - Taubaté	0:1
14.03.20	Taubaté - Piracicaba	1:0

Taubaté - Piracicaba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide