Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 15

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Taunton Town		Frome Town

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.40	2.75
	2.23	3.45	2.83
	2.25	3.66	2.84	Watch
	2.20	3.40	2.80
	2.11	3.55	2.83
	2.14	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.11)	3.49 ↓ (3.53)	2.8 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
41.7%

Draw
26%

Frome Town
32.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

25.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

24.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Taunton Town - Frome Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 9th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Frome could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Frome has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Taunton has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:4 (averaging 1.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Taunton against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Taunton	12	6	1	5	32:25	7	19
11	Frome	13	5	4	4	20:16	4	19

Last Results with these Odds

Taunton Town - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 42.52%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Taunton Town - Wimborne Town	1:4 ✺
English Southern League South Division
20.10.26	Taunton Town - Bracknell Town	4:0 ✺
17.10.26	Evesham United - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
10.10.26	Taunton Town - Hanwell Town	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Frome Town - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLT
- Frome Town
English FA Trophy
24.10.26	Bath City - Frome Town	1:0 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
17.10.26	Malvern Town - Frome Town	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Chippenham Town - Frome Town	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Frome Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Yate Town - Frome Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
30.09.26	Frome Town - Taunton Town	2:2
11.02.25	Taunton Town - Frome Town	0:0
26.08.24	Frome Town - Taunton Town	0:2
16.03.19	Frome Town - Taunton Town	2:0
06.10.18	Taunton Town - Frome Town	3:0

Taunton Town - Frome Town