Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Yate Town		Frome Town

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.45	1.81
	3.57	3.70	1.88
	3.52	3.71	1.94	Watch
	3.50	3.50	1.86
	3.49	3.95	1.97
	3.45	3.55	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.81)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	1.89 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yate Town
26.3%

Draw
25.2%

Frome Town
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

25.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

24.6%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yate Town's form might have worsened.

Frome Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frome Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frome Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yate Town - Frome Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 3)
49', 1 - 0, Green M. ⚽,
61', 1 - 1, Hopkins A. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Larvin W. ⚽,
71', 2 - 2, Dowling G. ⚽,
72', 2 - 3, Meakes S. ⚽,
77', 3 - 3, Mannings R. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 14th and 7th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Yate is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Frome has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Frome may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Yate has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Frome	10	4	3	3	17:13	4	15
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Wimborne Town - Yate Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	2:1 AET ✺
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
12.09.26	Hanworth Villa - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWL
- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
30.09.26	Frome Town - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
22.09.26	Plymouth Parkway - Frome Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Frome Town - Bath City	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Chertsey Town - Frome Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.21	Frome Town - Yate Town	1:0

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