Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 12

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Chippenham Town		Frome Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.20	2.18
	2.80	3.55	2.29
	2.84	3.54	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.30	2.25
	2.79	3.32	2.23
	2.75	3.35	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.74)	3.38 ↑ (3.37)	2.25 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
32.7%

Draw
26.9%

Frome Town
40.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.6%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.6%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Frome Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frome Town than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Chippenham Town - Frome Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 0 - 1, Davies J. ⚽,
69', 0 - 2, Drew Z. ⚽,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 6th in the Promotion - Southern League Premier South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 2.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Recently, Chippenham has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Chippenham has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:8 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Chippenham against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.8:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Frome	13	5	4	4	20:16	4	19
22	Chippenham	12	2	3	7	11:25	-14	9

Last Results with these Odds

Chippenham Town - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 32.75%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Chertsey Town - Chippenham Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
03.10.26	Cray Wanderers - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
29.09.26	Evesham United - Chippenham Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
22.09.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	2:1 AET ✺
18.09.26	Yate Town - Chippenham Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLLWT
- Frome Town
English Southern League South Division
10.10.26	Frome Town - Sholing	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Yate Town - Frome Town	3:3 ✺
30.09.26	Frome Town - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
22.09.26	Plymouth Parkway - Frome Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Frome Town - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern Premier League
17.04.17	Frome Town - Chippenham Town	0:1
02.01.17	Chippenham Town - Frome Town	2:2
20.02.16	Frome Town - Chippenham Town	1:0
29.09.15	Chippenham Town - Frome Town	1:1
English FA Cup
15.09.15	Chippenham Town - Frome Town	1:0
11.09.15	Frome Town - Chippenham Town	0:0
English Southern Premier League
06.04.15	Frome Town - Chippenham Town	0:0

Chippenham Town - Frome Town