Match Info

I Lyga - Round 10

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Tauras Tauragė		Jonava

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.8	4.65	Watch
	1.57	3.81	4.63
	1.6	3.86	4.78	Watch
	1.57	3.6	4.6
	1.61	4.05	4.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.54)	3.82 ↓ (3.88)	4.67 ↓ (5.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauras Tauragė
57%

Draw
23.6%

Jonava
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

22.7%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauras Tauragė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Tauras Tauragė - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 8)

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Tauras is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tauras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.7:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Tauras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43
11	Jonava	25	7	6	12	28:33	-5	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
08.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	3:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
21.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen	1:4 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 TWLLL
- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
08.05.26	Jonava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Jonava	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
29.04.26	Jonava - FA Šiauliai	0:4 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
25.04.26	Jonava - Transinvest 2	4:0 ✺
19.04.26	FA Šiauliai B - Jonava	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
20.09.25	Jonava - Tauras Tauragė	1:0
17.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0
24.06.15	Jonava - Tauras Tauragė	9:0

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