Match Info

I Lyga - Round 12

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Tauras Tauragė		Hegelmann Litauen 2

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.5	11.5	Watch
	1.39	4.37	5.35
	1.33	4.85	7.39	Watch
	1.4	4	6
	1.17	6.6	12.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.16)	5.26 ↓ (6.55)	8.47 ↓ (11.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauras Tauragė
71.6%

Draw
17.5%

Hegelmann Litauen 2
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.4%

13.9%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauras Tauragė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tauras Tauragė's form might have worsened.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Jorge Eduardo ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Petravicius J. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Jorge Eduardo ⚽,
43', 3 - 1, Jonaitis L. ⚽,
45', 4 - 1, Gvildys K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 5 - 1, Petravicius J. ⚽,
69', 6 - 1, Pikciunas M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).

Tauras has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hegelmann 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hegelmann 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tauras is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tauras won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tauras won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43
14	Hegelmann Litauen 2	25	6	1	18	26:59	-33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
23.05.26	Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Tauras Tauragė	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWTWL
- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
22.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	2:3 ✺
15.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:2 ✺
11.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	FA Šiauliai B - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
09.11.25	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:0
27.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Tauras Tauragė	1:0
17.08.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Tauras Tauragė	3:3
23.03.24	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:1

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