Match Info

J3 League - Round 37

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Gifu

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.25	2.82	Watch
	2.15	3.52	3.06	Watch
	2.24	3.24	2.89	Watch
	2.12	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.15)	3.38 ↓ (3.52)	2.92 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
41.8%

Draw
27%

Gifu
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.9%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Gifu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gifu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Okamoto M. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 28. Manabe H. 39. Shimokawa Y. 20. Ano M. 50. Yasuda K. 34. Kawai T. 47. Okumura K. 11. Hashimoto K. 18. Yoshizawa S.	1. Mogi S. (G) 55. Toyama R. 20. Kato S. 3. Nozawa R. 22. Mun In-Ju 8. Araki D. 97. Fukuta A. 28. Hakozaki T. 39. Izumisawa J. 10. Kita R. 7. Nakamura J.
Substitutes
40. Ando R. 35. Egawa G. 10. Inoue R. 32. Lee Chung-won (G) 42. Matsumoto K. 6. Okuma K. 41. Sakai S. 4. Sakurai F. 45. Tanaka S.	40. Hirase D. 19. Matsumoto A. 16. Nishitani R. 26. Ogushi S. 14. Oiji Y. 32. Owie W. 31. Serantes J. (G) 18. Yamaya Y. 27. Yokoyama T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Hashimoto K. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Toyama R. ⚽, Araki D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Nakamura J. ↓, Nishitani R. ↑,
46', Kita R. ↓, Yamaya Y. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Hashimoto K. ⚽, Yoshizawa S. (A),
70', Kawai T. 🟨,
73', Araki D. ↓, Owie W. ↑,
74', Kawai T. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
83', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
86', Hakozaki T. ↓, Oiji Y. ↑,
86', Izumisawa J. ↓, Yokoyama T. ↑,
90+1', Ano M. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
90+1', Okumura K. ↓, Okuma K. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is Qualified for J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 3.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Gifu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Gifu - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.37%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
15.11.25	Nagano Parceiro - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nara Club	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gainare Tottori - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTW
- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
15.11.25	Gifu - Tochigi City	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Gifu - Gainare Tottori	2:4 ✺
02.11.25	Tochigi - Gifu	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Gifu - Kagoshima United	1:3 ✺
19.10.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Gifu	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
21.06.25	Gifu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3
06.07.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gifu	0:1
14.04.24	Gifu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2
09.09.23	Gifu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0
30.04.23	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gifu	2:1
06.11.22	Gifu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2
26.06.22	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gifu	1:4

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