Match Info

J3 League - Round 35

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.25	Watch
	1.99	3.52	3.59
	1.92	3.81	3.41	Watch
	1.95	3.49	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)	3.53 ↓ (3.81)	3.46 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
47.4%

Draw
26%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

24.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

23.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+2%)

The ML Model estimate for Thespakusatsu Gunma aligns with the current prediction.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Okamoto M. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 39. Shimokawa Y. 20. Ano M. 50. Yasuda K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 41. Sakai S. 58. Take H. 18. Yoshizawa S.	21. Kim Je-hee (G) 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 22. Takahashi Y. 37. Sehata G. 4. Funabashi Y. 8. Yamauchi R. 27. Fujimura R. 49. Kotake S. 11. Kagami T. 7. Nishimura Y.
Substitutes
10. Inoue R. 34. Kawai T. 32. Lee Chung-won (G) 28. Manabe H. 42. Matsumoto K. 6. Okuma K. 4. Sakurai F. 45. Tanaka S. 27. Watanabe S.	36. Adachi S. 15. Kazama K. 14. Kikuchi K. 13. Kondo I. (G) 38. Konishi H. 30. Koyanagi T. 19. Mohamado F. 18. Tanaka S. 5. Yamaguchi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Ohata R. 🟨,
62', Kagami T. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
62', Fujimura R. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
62', Nishimura Y. ↓, Yamaguchi K. ↑,
71', Sakai S. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
71', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
74', Ano M. 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, Rikiyasu S. ⚽,
80', Kotake S. ↓, Mohamado F. ↑,
81', Sehata G. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
83', Egawa G. ↓, Manabe H. ↑,
83', Ano M. ↓, Sakurai F. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Yamaguchi K. ⚽,
90+3', Take H. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Mohamado F. ⚽,
90+3', Takahashi Y. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 18).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Thespakusatsu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
05.11.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nara Club	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gainare Tottori - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:4 ✺
19.10.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Tochigi City	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTWTW
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
02.11.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Vanraure Hachinohe	0:4 ✺
04.10.25	Gifu - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
05.04.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0

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