Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 6
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	ESPN 2, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Silk Sport 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports 4
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN / App
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	Gol Play, GolStadium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	Telstar		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.1	1.55	Watch
	4.9	4.65	1.58
	5.25	4.65	1.58
	8.41	5.23	1.34	Watch
	5.5	4.46	1.57	Watch
	4.75	4.5	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.72 ↓ (8.15)	4.6 ↓ (5.08)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
16.7%

Draw
20.8%

Feyenoord
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

18.6%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.1%

17.8%

73%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Telstar's performance.

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Feyenoord might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Telstar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Feyenoord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.1%	15.8%	63.2%

Telstar - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Feyenoord will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Feyenoord (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Feyenoord will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Telstar (votes: 1 - 10%). Feyenoord (votes: 8 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 4. Offerhaus G. 6. Bakker D. (C) 11. Noslin T. 17. Rossen N. 8. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 27. Brouwer P. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 7. Hetli S.	22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 2. Nieuwkoop B. 21. Ahmedhodzic A. 4. Watanabe T. 5. Smal G. 40. Valente L. 8. Timber Q. 23. Hadj Moussa A. (C) 28. Targhalline O. 27. Diarra G. 9. Ueda A.
Substitutes
13. Bodak T. (G) 21. Koswal D. 15. Lechkar A. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 5. Nwankwo N. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 30. Tejan K. 9. Zonneveld M.	1. Bijlow J. (G) 11. Borges G. 15. Bos J. 39. Bossin L. (G) 47. Kraaijeveld T. 30. Lotomba J. 46. Ouarghi A. 43. Plug J. 32. Sliti A. 14. Steijn S. 17. Tengstedt C. 49. van Persie S.
Coaches
Correia A.	van Persie R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Offerhaus G. (Own goal),
38', Nieuwkoop B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Ueda A. 🟨,
59', Smal G. ↓, Bos J. ↑,
63', 0 - 2, Hadj Moussa A. ⚽, Timber Q. (A),
69', Nieuwkoop B. ↓, Lotomba J. ↑,
70', Diarra G. ↓, Sliti A. ↑,
71', Hetli S. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
71', Hardeveld J. ↓, Nwankwo N. ↑,
72', Noslin T. ↓, Lechkar A. ↑,
82', Ueda A. ↓, van Persie S. ↑,
82', Valente L. ↓, Steijn S. ↑,
84', Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Tejan K. ⚽, Lechkar A. (A),
90', Rossen N. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
90+4', van Persie S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In recent matches, Telstar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Feyenoord is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Feyenoord may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Feyenoord is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Telstar: Hamdaoui M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Beelen T. (Broken Leg) Bos J. (Muscle Injury) Hwang In-Beom (Injury) Jeng M. (Leg Injury) Larin C. (Injury) Moder J. (Back Injury) Read G. (Muscle Injury) Slory J. (Injury) Trauner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zand S. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.25	Telstar - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Twente - Telstar	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Telstar - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Lisse - Telstar	0:5 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Telstar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTTWL
- Feyenoord
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Feyenoord - Celtic	1:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.25	Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen	2:4 ✺
09.11.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Feyenoord	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Stuttgart - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.11.25	Feyenoord - Volendam	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW

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