Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion (Heerenveen)

Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 7
Netherlands	ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Heerenveen		Telstar

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.50	4.50	Watch
	1.63	4.50	4.60
	1.58	4.30	4.80
	1.64	4.70	4.97
	1.6	4.58	4.77	Watch
	1.62	4.35	4.90
	1.65	4.43	4.79	Watch
	1.61	4.50	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.81)	4.48 ↑ (3.98)	4.73 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heerenveen
58.7%

Draw
21.2%

Telstar
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

23.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heerenveen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heerenveen's performance.

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heerenveen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heerenveen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Heerenveen - Telstar Predictions

Users Predictions: Heerenveen will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Heerenveen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Klaverboer B. (G) 45. Braude O. 4. Kersten S. 3. Willemsen M. (C) 19. Zagaritis V. 14. Smans L. 36. Courtens N. 20. Trenskow J. 10. Meerveld R. 7. Rivera M. 9. Vente D.	1. Koeman Jr R. (G) 16. Valk S. 4. Soualhia A. 43. Peersman M. 3. Alders G. 30. Owusu T. 17. Rossen N. 2. Hardeveld J. (C) 7. Mendes R. 27. Brouwer P. 11. Thorisson N.
Substitutes
23. Bladi D. 49. Bouziane A. 21. Farji M. 29. Machine L. 44. Noppert A. (G) 11. Oyen L. 28. Petrov H. 41. Scholten J. 30. Schreuder T. (G) 17. Uldrikis R.	6. Ahmed I. 15. Aning P. 8. Demircan E. 14. Kuster H. 19. Martha A. 13. Mulder F. (G) 5. Nwankwo N. 37. Oudsten R. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 9. Seedorf J. 23. Shenkman N. 21. Turay F.
Coaches
Veldman R.	Brugge H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Kersten S. ↓, Petrov H. ↑,
61', Smans L. ↓, Uldrikis R. ↑,
61', Rivera M. ↓, Oyen L. ↑,
69', Zagaritis V. 🟨,
69', Thorisson N. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
75', Mendes R. ↓, Kuster H. ↑,
82', Trenskow J. ↓, Farji M. ↑,
83', Farji M. 🟨,
87', Owusu T. ↓, Ahmed I. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 14)

Heerenveen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Telstar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Telstar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Heerenveen is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Heerenveen: Egbring M. (Injury) Hilgers M. (Knee Injury) Linday M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Heerenveen: Proper D. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Heerenveen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Heerenveen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Heerenveen	8	2	3	3	11:11	0	9
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5:12	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie
06.09.26	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Willem II - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Heerenveen - Zwolle	0:2 ✺
16.08.26	Ajax - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Heerenveen - Twente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LTLTW
- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
09.09.26	Twente - Telstar	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Telstar - Cambuur	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Telstar - Ajax	0:4 ✺
14.08.26	Telstar - Sparta Rotterdam	1:3 ✺
08.08.26	NEC Nijmegen - Telstar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
14.03.26	Heerenveen - Telstar	3:0
19.10.25	Telstar - Heerenveen	2:3
Club Friendly
11.07.25	Heerenveen - Telstar	1:1
11.07.14	Heerenveen - Telstar	3:0

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