Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Beranger (Turdera)

Referee: Viola F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Temperley		Deportivo Morón

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.75	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.3
	2.49	2.65	3.35	Watch
	2.78	2.57	3.5
	2.7	2.48	3.44	Watch
	2.38	2.75	3.3
	2.55	2.75	3.2	Watch
	2.49	2.65	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (1.83)	2.67 ↓ (3.15)	3.33 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Temperley
36.9%

Draw
35%

Deportivo Morón
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

29.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

32%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Temperley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Temperley's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Morón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Temperley than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Temperley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Morón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	55.6%	33.3%

Temperley - Deportivo Morón Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Temperley will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Deportivo Morón will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Morón (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Deportivo Morón (2.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Morón (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mastrolia E. (G) 4. Monti L. 2. Lucero L. 6. Lamosa A. 3. Aguinagalde V. 11. Genez N. 7. Brandan F. 5. Arregui A. (C) 8. Toledo A. 10. Carrasco J. 9. Lopez L.	1. Salva J. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 2. Lorenzon F. 6. Zarate N. 3. Vaquero I. M. 8. Kubiszyn S. 5. Ferreira P. 10. Gonzalez Y. 7. Sanguinetti F. 9. Costantino I. 11. Bittolo M. (C)
Substitutes
12. Diaz V. (G) 19. Esparza G. 16. Frias J. 17. Hauche G. 14. Magallanes D. 13. Peralta I. 18. Pombo C. 15. Richarte L. 20. Toledo J.	18. Baez F. 13. Cortave M. 16. Disanto L. 12. Finochietto L. (G) 19. Franco E. 17. Gonzalez G. 14. Lazza E. 15. Livera J. 20. Reynaga R.
Coaches
Forestello R.	Otta W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Arregui A. 🟨,
38', Cabrera J. M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Brandan F. ⚽, Carrasco J. (A),
42', Monti L. 🟨,
45+3', Kubiszyn S. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Bittolo M. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
55', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Baez F. ↑,
55', Gonzalez Y. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
56', Brandan F. 🟨,
66', Toledo A. ↓, Richarte L. ↑,
68', Lamosa A. 🟨,
70', Richarte L. 🟨,
73', 1 - 1, Costantino I. ⚽,
78', Aguinagalde V. ↓, Esparza G. ↑,
78', Carrasco J. ↓, Toledo J. ↑,
88', Ferreira P. ↓, Lazza E. ↑,
90+2', Costantino I. ↓, Reynaga R. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Temperley won 1.

In recent matches, Temperley has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Morón is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Temperley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Temperley will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Temperley won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Temperley won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Temperley
Argentinian Primera Nacional
04.05.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Temperley	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Temperley - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
22.04.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Temperley	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Temperley - Chacarita Juniors	0:3 ✺
05.04.25	San Telmo - Temperley	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWTLW
- Deportivo Morón
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.25	Deportivo Morón - Defensores Unidos	4:0 ✺
26.04.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Deportivo Morón	0:1 ✺
20.04.25	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Deportivo Morón - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Deportivo Morón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.10.24	Deportivo Morón - Temperley	0:0
08.06.24	Temperley - Deportivo Morón	3:0
07.10.23	Temperley - Deportivo Morón	1:1
27.05.23	Deportivo Morón - Temperley	2:0
09.07.22	Deportivo Morón - Temperley	1:1
03.01.21	Temperley - Deportivo Morón	0:0
28.10.19	Temperley - Deportivo Morón	3:0

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