Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Tenerife		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	7	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.25
	1.65	3.5	5.85	Watch
	1.62	3.4	6
	1.63	3.68	6.79
	1.7	3.2	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.58	6.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.87)	3.47 ↑ (3.28)	6.11 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
57.5%

Draw
27.1%

Real Sociedad B
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

29%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

18.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-25.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.4%	10.8%	10.8%

Tenerife - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: Tenerife will win (29 of 37 users predict this - 78.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.12% – 91.64%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Tenerife has the most likely position - 3 (12.31%), has project points - 67, has currently - 30, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a chance of promoted (27%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Real Sociedad B has the most likely position - 20 (9.96%), has project points - 48, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (34%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Tenerife is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Sociedad B is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tenerife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tenerife is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
21.11.21	Tenerife - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
15.11.21	Málaga - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
08.11.21	Tenerife - Girona	2:1 ✺
04.11.21	Ibiza - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
01.11.21	Tenerife - Burgos	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWTW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.21	Real Sociedad B - Girona	1:2 ✺
12.11.21	Sporting de Gijón - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Real Sociedad B - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
04.11.21	Málaga - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
29.10.21	Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLLL

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