Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 35

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Orellana M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tenerife		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.5	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.5
	2	3	4.2	Watch
	1.97	3.06	4.66	Watch
	1.94	3.2	4.33	Watch
	2	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.11)	3.05 ↑ (2.95)	4.23 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
47.1%

Draw
30.8%

Burgos
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

31.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

32.9%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	30.8%	7.7%

Tenerife - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Burgos will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tenerife: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Badia E. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Gonzalez S. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 11. Cruz Luismi 15. Bodiger Y. 16. Sanz A. 17. Rubio W. 8. Diarra Y. 18. Enric	13. Cantero A. (G) 4. Arroyo A. 18. Cordoba A. 8. Sierra G. 3. Miguel F. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. 7. Ojeda D. 16. Curro 21. Cordoba I. 9. Nino F.
Substitutes
29. Alvarez C. 19. Cantero A. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 6. Gonzalez F. 23. Juande 33. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 20. Mesa M. 10. Moreno M. 7. Padilla J. 9. Rodriguez A. 21. Teto A.	15. Bares G. 28. Cantero M. 19. Espiau Hernandez E. D. 33. Exposito M. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 17. Mimbacas F. 37. Monedero M. (G) 1. Nadal T. (G) 6. Navarro R. 32. Pascual H. 20. Pipa 10. Sanchez B.
Coaches
Cervera A.	Ramis L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
42', Curro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
53', Ojeda D. 🟨,
62', Bodiger Y. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
62', Rubio W. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
67', Curro ↓, Espiau Hernandez E. D. ↑,
67', Cordoba I. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
67', Sanz A. 🟨,
73', Morante I. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
73', Ojeda D. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
78', Miguel F. 🟨,
81', Diarra Y. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
81', Atienza M. 🟨,
89', Nino F. ↓, Pipa ↑,
90+3', Carrasco S. 🟥,
90+4', Leon J. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
90+6', Sanchez B. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 3.

Tenerife is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Burgos is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tenerife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tenerife is a favorite.

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Landazuri A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Burgos: Alex Sancris (Yellow Cards) Appin K. (Knee Injury) Elady (Muscle Injury) Quintanilla R. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.4:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.25	Sporting de Gijón - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
28.03.25	Tenerife - Granada	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Tenerife - Cádiz	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Racing Santander - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Tenerife - Huesca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWLW
- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
06.04.25	Burgos - Huesca	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Eldense - Burgos	0:0 ✺
21.03.25	Burgos - Almería	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Cartagena - Burgos	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Burgos - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Burgos - Tenerife	1:0
26.05.24	Burgos - Tenerife	1:1
08.10.23	Tenerife - Burgos	2:1
20.05.23	Tenerife - Burgos	2:1
05.11.22	Burgos - Tenerife	0:1
27.03.22	Burgos - Tenerife	1:0
01.11.21	Tenerife - Burgos	4:0

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