Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 24

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Zubieta Real Sociedad (San Sebastian)

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Ecuador	DSports 6
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Real Sociedad B		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.78	3.1	2.52	Watch
	2.91	3.22	2.63
	2.82	3.17	2.62	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.5
	2.78	3.29	2.58	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.71)	3.18 ↑ (3.12)	2.56 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad B
33.6%

Draw
29.6%

Las Palmas
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

29.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

29.4%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Sociedad B's performance.

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Las Palmas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Sociedad B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Las Palmas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Las Palmas: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad B (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arana E. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 4. Beitia L. (C) 15. Kita K. 3. Balda J. 17. Astiazaran L. 14. Carbonell T. 31. Aguirre I. 16. Gorosabel G. 18. Carrera G. 8. Rodriguez M.	1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 15. Herzog J. 4. Alex Suarez 5. Clemente E. 22. Garcia A. 20. Rodriguez K. 16. Amatucci L. 14. Fuster M. 10. Jese 21. Viera J. (C)
Substitutes
41. Adjabeng A. 23. Agote U. 30. Eceizabarrena J. 32. Folgado T. (G) 33. Gorosabel J. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 34. Oleaga J. 20. Osazuwa S. 5. Rodriguez P. 39. Unax A.	49. Bravo I. 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 12. Loiodice E. 18. Miyashiro T. 31. Navarro C. 39. Pedrola E. 24. Pejino 27. Pezzolesi V. 35. Suarez A. (G)
Coaches
Ansotegi I.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Marvin 🟨,
22', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Carrera G. ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, Rodriguez K. ⚽, Jese (A),
55', Gorosabel G. 🟨,
66', Fuster M. ↓, Bravo I. ↑,
72', Rodriguez K. ↓, Loiodice E. ↑,
73', Jese ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
73', Viera J. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
78', Carbonell T. ↓, Adjabeng A. ↑,
81', Gorosabel G. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
90', Garcia A. ↓, Pejino ↑,
90', Balda J. ↓, Agote U. ↑,
90', Astiazaran L. ↓, Osazuwa S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Real Sociedad B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Real Sociedad B has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Calderon I. (Injury) Lebarbier A. (Injury) Marchal A. (Injury) Olasagasti L. (Injury) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Marmol M. (Yellow Cards) Recoba J. (Knee Injury) Sergio Barcia (Red Card) Viti (Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Benedetti N. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Real Sociedad B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11
19	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
24.01.26	Leganés - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
21.01.26	Chelsea U21 - Real Sociedad B	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
17.01.26	Zaragoza - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Real Sociedad B - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Leonesa - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTTT
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
24.01.26	Las Palmas - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Racing Santander - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
10.01.26	Las Palmas - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Zaragoza - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Las Palmas - Leonesa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.09.25	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B	2:1
30.01.22	Las Palmas - Real Sociedad B	0:0
29.10.21	Real Sociedad B - Las Palmas	0:1

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