Match Info

Date: 3 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez (Tepatitlán)

Referee: Morales E. (Mex)


	Tepatitlán de Morelos		Pumas Tabasco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.4	4.8
	1.6	3.45	5.1
	1.63	3.5	4.7
	1.67	3.66	5.63
	1.62	3.3	5.25
	1.63	3.58	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.53)	3.48 ↓ (3.85)	5.08 ↓ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tepatitlán de Morelos
55.9%

Draw
26.2%

Pumas Tabasco
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

24%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.8%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Pumas Tabasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pumas Tabasco than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Tepatitlán de Morelos - Pumas Tabasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Tepatitlán will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Pumas Tabasco will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tepatitlán: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 18).

Recent matches Tepatitlán is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pumas Tabasco is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pumas Tabasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tepatitlán is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tepatitlán won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
28.07.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
19.07.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1 ✺
13.07.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Raya2 Expansión	1:2 ✺
10.07.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Tepatitlán de Morelos	3:0 ✺
26.06.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Dorados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLLW
- Pumas Tabasco
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
27.07.22	Pumas Tabasco - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
24.07.22	Atlético Morelia - Pumas Tabasco	1:1 ✺
14.07.22	Pumas Tabasco - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:2 ✺
08.07.22	Celaya - Pumas Tabasco	2:1 ✺
26.06.22	Pumas Tabasco - Cancún	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.03.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Pumas Tabasco	1:0
23.11.21	Pumas Tabasco - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:1
10.11.21	Pumas Tabasco - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1
25.02.21	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Pumas Tabasco	1:2
10.11.20	Pumas Tabasco - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:2

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