Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Teramo		Fossombrone

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.22	6.57
	1.42	4.13	6.72	Watch
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.37	4.05	8.05
	1.41	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.42)	4.07 ↑ (4)	7.07 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teramo
64.9%

Draw
22.3%

Fossombrone
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22.8%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.6%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teramo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teramo than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Teramo - Fossombrone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Teramo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fossombrone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Teramo is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Teramo will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Teramo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Teramo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Teramo	6	4	1	1	17:11	6	13
6	Fossombrone	6	3	1	2	6:9	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Teramo Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.02.26	Maceratese - Teramo	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Teramo - Vigor Senigallia	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Chieti - Teramo	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Teramo - Giulianova	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Castelfidardo - Teramo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWTW
- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
08.02.26	Vigor Senigallia - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Fossombrone - Sora	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Giulianova - Fossombrone	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Fossombrone - Maceratese	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	UniPomezia - Fossombrone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
12.10.25	Fossombrone - Teramo	0:1
18.05.25	Teramo - Fossombrone	1:1 ET
05.01.25	Teramo - Fossombrone	1:0

Teramo - Fossombrone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide