Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fossombrone		Sora

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.15
	2.1	3.35	3.15	Watch
	2.1	3.24	3.17
	2.08	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fossombrone
43.6%

Draw
27.7%

Sora
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

27.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

27.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fossombrone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Sora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Sora aligns with the current prediction.

Fossombrone - Sora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 11).

Fossombrone is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sora's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fossombrone could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fossombrone won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Fossombrone	9	4	1	4	12:17	-5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F
25.01.26	Giulianova - Fossombrone	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Fossombrone - Maceratese	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	UniPomezia - Fossombrone	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Fossombrone - Chieti	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Fossombrone - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWWW
- ASD GC Sora
Italian Serie D - Group F
25.01.26	Maceratese - Sora	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Sora - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Chieti - Sora	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Sora - Giulianova	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Sora - Castelfidardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
28.09.25	Sora - Fossombrone	0:0
29.09.24	Sora - Fossombrone	1:1

Fossombrone - Sora