Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 20

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Pogoń Szczecin		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5	Watch
	1.5	4.45	5.15
	1.54	4.57	5.65
	1.52	4.74	5.63	Watch
	1.5	4	5
	1.53	4.45	5.12	Watch
	1.52	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)	4.39 ↑ (3.27)	5.29 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Szczecin
61.2%

Draw
21.2%

Termalica Nieciecza
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

27.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin's performance.

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Termalica will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 40%). Termalica (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 - Pogoń Szczecin (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 3 - 50%). Termalica (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Cojocaru V. (G) 28. Wahlqvist L. 13. Keramitsis D. 4. Leo Borges 32. Koutris L. 14. Pozo J. 8. Ulvestad F. 19. Ndiaye M. 90. Greenwood S. 18. Mukairu P. 11. Grosicki K. (C)	1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 2. Kopacz B. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 21. Hilbrycht D. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. (C) 13. Kubica K. 6. Wolski M. 26. Jakubik W. 19. Durdov I. 7. Fassbender M.
Substitutes
15. Ali H. 24. Angielski K. 6. Bieganski J. 30. Czaplinski J. 38. Jakubowski R. 7. Juwara M. 31. Kaminski K. (G) 17. Lis J. 22. Loncar D. 21. Rojek S. 61. Smolinski K.	17. Biniek D. 27. Boboc R. 23. Guerrero S. 9. Jimenez J. 8. Kurzawa R. 5. Masoero L. 32. Matysik M. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 77. Putivtsev A. 86. Strzalek I. 53. Trubeha A. 25. Zapolnik K.
Coaches
Thomasberg T.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Kubica K. 🟨,
34', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Greenwood S. ⚽,
40', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
42', Brosz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jakubik W. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
46', Durdov I. ↓, Zapolnik K. ↑,
61', Wolski M. ↓, Boboc R. ↑,
70', Greenwood S. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
70', Koutris L. ↓, Loncar D. ↑,
70', Pozo J. ↓, Angielski K. ↑,
76', Cojocaru V. 🟨,
80', Kubica K. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
80', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Guerrero S. ↑,
81', Leo Borges ↓, Ali H. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Kurzawa R. ⚽,
84', Grosicki K. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
90', Loncar D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 3.

Termalica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Termalica has had a series of home games.

In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Molnar R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Pogon Szczecin: 1.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12:6	6	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa
01.02.26	Motor Lublin - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Swit Skolwin	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
06.12.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
02.12.25	Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
29.11.25	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWTLL
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
02.02.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Cracovia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Rzeszów	8:1 ✺
16.01.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Spartak Subotica	1:0 ✺
13.01.26	IMT Novi Beograd - Termalica Nieciecza	1:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.12.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
02.08.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin	1:1
21.05.22	Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2
04.12.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin	1:3
15.04.18	Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0
17.03.18	Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Szczecin	2:4
21.10.17	Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza	2:3
17.05.17	Pogoń Szczecin - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1

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