Match Info

Division 1 - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Termalica Nieciecza		Odra Opole

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	3.00
	2.10	3.30	3.10
	1.95	3.35	3.30
	2.24	3.45	3.29
	1.94	3.65	3.63	Watch
	2.20	3.30	3.25
	2.21	3.36	3.15
	2.16	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.01)	3.35 ↑ (3.07)	3.21 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
43.7%

Draw
27.6%

Odra Opole
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Odra Opole has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (-2%)

Termalica Nieciecza - Odra Opole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 20. Jaroszewski M. 5. Masoero L. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 16. Kozik M. 21. Hilbrycht D. 23. Guerrero S. 13. Kubica K. 27. Boboc R. 17. Biniek D. 26. Jakubik W.	1. Mleczko M. (G) 6. Pochciol J. 3. Piroch J. 55. Pingot M. 22. Spychala M. (C) 8. Scalet M. 14. Gajda T. 23. Biedrzycki B. 20. Szysz P. 9. Feliks M. 10. Baranski B.
Substitutes
15. Dabrowski S. 19. Durdov I. 9. Jimenez J. 8. Kurzawa R. 66. Olejnik P. 11. Slawinski O. 3. Synos M. 76. Topor E. (G) 4. Zarowny A.	52. Cassio 77. Gieroba S. 30. Haluch A. (G) 33. Kupczyk F. 16. Liber A. 7. Milos M. 25. Palacz K. 11. Perez J. 73. Stas M.
Coaches
Brosz M.	Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hilbrycht D. ⚽, Chovan A. (A),
24', Guerrero S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Baranski B. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
49', Gieroba S. 🟨,
58', Spychala M. ↓, Milos M. ↑,
58', Scalet M. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
64', Biniek D. ↓, Durdov I. ↑,
76', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Synos M. ↑,
76', Jakubik W. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
80', Biedrzycki B. ↓, Kupczyk F. ↑,
81', Kubica K. 🟨,
85', Szysz P. ↓, Cassio ↑,
87', Guerrero S. ↓, Slawinski O. ↑,
87', Kozik M. ↓, Zarowny A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2.

Termalica is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Odra Opole has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Odra Opole may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Termalica is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Termalica has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:15 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Termalica against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 10:3 goals (averaging 1.7:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Odra Opole: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7:9	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Termalica Nieciecza - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 44.03%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Odra Opole - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 27.15%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
14.09.26	Stal Mielec - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Lechia Gdańsk	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Wigry Suwałki - Termalica Nieciecza	1:5 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWTL
- Odra Opole
Polish Division 1
13.09.26	Odra Opole - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Odra Opole - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.26	Odra Opole - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
14.02.25	Odra Opole - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2
04.08.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Odra Opole	3:0
25.04.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Odra Opole	0:1
22.10.23	Odra Opole - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1
12.11.22	Odra Opole - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2
15.07.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Odra Opole	2:1
30.05.21	Odra Opole - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0

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