Match Info

Polish Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.50	1.68
	3.55	3.50	1.81
	4.37	3.70	1.66
	3.75	3.71	1.82	Watch
	4.00	3.60	1.64
	4.18	3.65	1.70	Watch
	4.20	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (4)	3.62 ↑ (3.58)	1.73 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
22.5%

Draw
25%

Termalica Nieciecza
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

24.8%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.1%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-3%)

Wigry Suwałki - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Taudul M. (G) 15. Jakubczyk P. 66. Witasik P. 18. Magnuszewski K. 4. Kucharczyk O. 70. Bajdur M. 8. Baranowicz B. 89. Guzewski B. 10. Kluska M. 9. Guzdek B. 77. Noworyta K.	76. Topor E. (G) 4. Zarowny A. 5. Masoero L. 13. Kubica K. (C) 16. Kozik M. 23. Guerrero S. 17. Biniek D. 27. Boboc R. 20. Jaroszewski M. 26. Jakubik W. 15. Dabrowski S.
Substitutes
22. Czaplicki P. 26. Fronczak J. 11. Glowicki K. 41. Gohlike O. 30. Iwanowski K. 14. Michalowski F. 90. Rejterada K. 2. Sowulewski B. 20. Wasilewski B.	10. Drag M. . Drelicharz K. 1. Molga M. (G) 66. Olejnik P. 11. Slawinski O. 29. Surowiec K. 12. Wrobel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Biniek D. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Biniek D. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Jakubik W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 4, Jakubik W. ⚽,
56', 1 - 4, Bajdur M. ⚽,
57', Jakubczyk P. ↓, Rejterada K. ↑,
57', Guzdek B. ↓, Gohlike O. ↑,
57', Kluska M. ↓, Fronczak J. ↑,
66', 1 - 5, Jakubik W. ⚽,
73', Dabrowski S. ↓, Olejnik P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 3.

Wigry is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Termalica has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wigry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Termalica is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Wigry won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.08.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Wigry Suwałki	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	0:0 ✺
19.08.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
14.08.26	Wigry Suwałki - Troszyn	1:0 ✺
07.08.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTTWT
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
28.08.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
16.08.26	ŁKS Łódź - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Termalica Nieciecza - Warta Poznań	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
02.06.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Wigry Suwałki	1:0
25.08.19	Wigry Suwałki - Termalica Nieciecza	1:0
09.03.19	Termalica Nieciecza - Wigry Suwałki	1:0
22.08.18	Wigry Suwałki - Termalica Nieciecza	3:2
Polish Cup
09.08.16	Wigry Suwałki - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1
Club Friendly
06.07.16	Wigry Suwałki - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2
Polish Division 1
20.05.15	Termalica Nieciecza - Wigry Suwałki	2:0

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