Match Info

Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski przy Solskiego 1 w Mielcu (Mielec)

Referee: Lewandowski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Stal Mielec		Odra Opole

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.00	3.10
	2.20	3.20	3.00
	2.22	3.10	3.10
	2.35	3.38	3.18
	2.22	3.34	3.2	Watch
	2.20	3.30	3.10
	2.29	3.12	3.22	Watch
	2.18	3.05	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.31)	3.19 ↓ (3.34)	3.11 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Mielec
41.4%

Draw
29%

Odra Opole
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

27.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

28.2%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Odra Opole has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odra Opole than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Stal Mielec - Odra Opole Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gostomski M. (G) 2. Kukulowicz B. 94. Kwiecien B. 44. Puerto I. 23. Getinger K. (C) 32. Gerbowski F. 14. Koscielny K. 19. Gmur T. 7. Cebula M. 78. Cybulski K. 70. Musiolik S.	30. Haluch A. (G) 35. Mijuskovic N. 3. Piroch J. 55. Pingot M. 22. Spychala M. (C) 16. Liber A. 14. Gajda T. 23. Biedrzycki B. 20. Szysz P. 9. Feliks M. 10. Baranski B.
Substitutes
41. Chrapusta P. (G) 10. Domanski M. 90. Kruszelnicki P. 5. Matynia H. 8. Niedzwiedz N. 11. Odolak K. 47. Oure S. 29. Tupaj P. 38. Wyparlo M.	52. Cassio 77. Gieroba S. 33. Kupczyk F. 7. Milos M. 1. Mleczko M. (G) 11. Perez J. 6. Pochciol J. 8. Scalet M. 17. Spacil B.
Coaches
Skiba D.	Tomczyk L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Szysz P. ⚽, Spychala M. (A),
39', Gostomski M. ↓, Chrapusta P. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Cebula M. ↓, Kruszelnicki P. ↑,
57', Gmur T. ↓, Odolak K. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Getinger K. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Cybulski K. ↓, Oure S. ↑,
66', Spychala M. ↓, Spacil B. ↑,
66', Baranski B. ↓, Kupczyk F. ↑,
66', Kwiecien B. ↓, Wyparlo M. ↑,
73', Szysz P. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
73', Feliks M. ↓, Gieroba S. ↑,
81', Koscielny K. 🟨,
81', Liber A. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
86', Kukulowicz B. 🟨,
88', Perez J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3.

Stal Mielec is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Odra Opole's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stal Mielec may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stal Mielec might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Stal Mielec: 0.41% Odra Opole: 0.41%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7:9	-2	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14:23	-9	9

Last Results with these Odds

Stal Mielec - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.73%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Odra Opole - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.82%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Mielec
Polish Cup
02.09.26	Górnik Łęczna - Stal Mielec	4:3 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
29.08.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Mielec	4:0 ✺
16.08.26	Stal Mielec - Polonia Bytom	5:2 ✺
08.08.26	Stal Mielec - Stal Rzeszów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWT
- Odra Opole
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Odra Opole - Wisła Kraków	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.26	Odra Opole - ŁKS Łódź	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Odra Opole - Warta Poznań	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Odra Opole	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
01.03.26	Odra Opole - Stal Mielec	0:2
21.08.25	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	2:1
Polish Cup
26.09.23	Odra Opole - Stal Mielec	1:2
Polish Division 1
04.07.20	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	1:1
24.10.19	Odra Opole - Stal Mielec	1:0
24.04.19	Odra Opole - Stal Mielec	1:1
05.10.18	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	1:1

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