Match Info

Division 1 - Round 33

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Polonia, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Miedź Legnica		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.25
	2.2	3.3	2.95
	2.12	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.13	3.62	3.36
	2.22	3.51	3.05	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.03	3.38	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.06)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	3.15 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
43.7%

Draw
27.1%

Ruch Chorzów
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26.5%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ruch Chorzów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Lucic I. (G) 3. Grudzinski M. 14. Drygas K. (C) 15. Jovicic M. 18. Cordoba A. 23. Rakip E. 49. Szymoniak O. 78. Polak C. 80. Petrovic Z. 95. Mansfeld M. 98. Antonik K.	82. Bielecki J. (G) 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 24. Komor A. 22. Watson M. 4. Preisler D. 25. Ventura D. 18. Nagamatsu S. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 13. Jendryka J. 7. Kolar M. 21. Szwedzik P.
Substitutes
7. Bochnak M. 11. Kuchko G. 27. Letniowski J. 88. Paczek S. 6. Podgorski J. 8. Serafin J. 21. Stanclik D. 59. Stepinski P. 44. Wrabel J. (G)	38. Karasinski S. 29. Lachendro F. 17. Lukic A. 23. Mezghrani M. 5. Rosol M. 27. Szwoch M. 1. Szymanski J. (G) 6. Szyminski P.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.	Fornalik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Nagamatsu S. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Drygas K. (Own goal),
21', Ventura D. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Kolar M. ⚽, Nagamatsu S. (A),
45', Rakip E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Petrovic Z. ↓, Serafin J. ↑,
46', Rakip E. ↓, Letniowski J. ↑,
46', Mansfeld M. ↓, Stanclik D. ↑,
52', 1 - 2, Antonik K. ⚽,
60', Komor A. 🟨,
73', Szymoniak O. ↓, Kuchko G. ↑,
73', Polak C. ↓, Bochnak M. ↑,
81', Kolar M. ↓, Mezghrani M. ↑,
87', Letniowski J. 🟨,
90', Nagamatsu S. ↓, Rosol M. ↑,
90+4', Szymanski S. ↓, Szwoch M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Miedź may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ruch Chorzów has had a series of home games.

Miedź is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 4.5:0.5).

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Ruch Chorzow: 4.51% Legnica: 4.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Legnica	9	4	2	3	14:9	5	14
11	Ruch Chorzow	9	3	3	3	9:11	-2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Miedź Legnica - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.57%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
09.05.26	Wieczysta Kraków - Miedź Legnica	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Miedź Legnica - Stal Mielec	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Pogoń Siedlce - Miedź Legnica	2:0 ✺
20.04.26	Miedź Legnica - Górnik Łęczna	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Znicz Pruszków - Miedź Legnica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWLLW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
10.05.26	GKS Tychy - Ruch Chorzów	0:4 ✺
03.05.26	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Wisła Kraków	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Ruch Chorzów - Wieczysta Kraków	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
07.11.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	3:1
10.04.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	1:2
22.09.24	Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów	3:0
28.04.18	Miedź Legnica - Ruch Chorzów	6:1
29.09.17	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	1:0

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