Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 30

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Termoli		Sammaurese

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.2	3.95
	1.8	3.35	3.93
	1.8	3.38	4.12	Watch
	1.8	3.1	3.9
	1.74	3.28	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.65)	3.26 ↓ (3.6)	4.08 ↓ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termoli
50.3%

Draw
27.6%

Sammaurese
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

24.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Termoli's form might have worsened.

Sammaurese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Termoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sammaurese than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Termoli - Sammaurese Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Termoli will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Romano G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Termoli have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sammaurese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Termoli is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Termoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Termoli	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.04.26	Teramo - Termoli	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sora - Termoli	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Termoli - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Maceratese - Termoli	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Termoli - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TWTWT
- AC Sammaurese
Italian Serie D - Group F
12.04.26	Sammaurese - L Aquila	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Sammaurese - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Notaresco - Sammaurese	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Fossombrone - Sammaurese	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sammaurese - Teramo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
23.11.25	Sammaurese - Termoli	0:1

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