Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Maceratese		Termoli

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.09	3.18	3.25
	2.02	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.02)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	3.27 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maceratese
43.9%

Draw
28.4%

Termoli
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maceratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Termoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maceratese than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termoli than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Maceratese - Termoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Maceratese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maceratese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Termoli	6	2	1	3	4:5	-1	7
13	Maceratese	6	2	1	3	7:9	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Termoli - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 27.47%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Maceratese
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.03.26	Ancona - Maceratese	4:0 ✺
22.02.26	Maceratese - Notaresco	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	L Aquila - Maceratese	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Maceratese - Teramo	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Sammaurese - Maceratese	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW
- Termoli
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.03.26	Termoli - Vigor Senigallia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Chieti - Termoli	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Termoli - Giulianova	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Castelfidardo - Termoli	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Termoli - UniPomezia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
02.11.25	Termoli - Maceratese	2:2

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