Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 13

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251


	Ternana		SPAL

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.51	5.2
	1.69	3.62	5.1	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.8
	1.64	3.5	4.93	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)	3.49 ↑ (3.41)	4.86 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
54.8%

Draw
26.3%

SPAL
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

25.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Ternana - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
62. Vannucchi G. (G) 2. Donati F. 33. Maestrelli A. 19. Capuano M. (C) 5. Tito F. 6. Corradini G. 7. de Boer K. 8. Romeo F. 9. Curcio A. 10. Cicerelli E. 11. Cianci P.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 2. Sottini E. 95. Nador S. 3. Bassoli A. (C) 4. Calapai L. 5. Zammarini R. 6. Radrezza I. 86. Awua T. 7. Mignanelli D. 55. Karlsson O. 9. Bidaoui S.
Substitutes
17. Aloi S. 32. Carboni M. 15. Casasola T. 99. Donnarumma A. . Ferrante A. 23. Ferrara C. 87. Martella B. 21. Mattheus C. . Patane N. 1. Vitali T. (G)	. Antenucci M. . Bruscagin M. 80. Buchel M. 30. Camelio U. 33. D'Orazio L. 12. Galeotti C. (G) 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 18. Ntenda J. 13. Polito V. 11. Rao E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Awua T. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
7', Maestrelli A. 🟨,
11', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
38', Cicerelli E. ↓, Casasola T. ↑,
41', Calapai L. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Karlsson O. ⚽,
45+1', Cianci P. 🟨,
45+4', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Maestrelli A. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
46', Patane N. ↓, Aloi S. ↑,
51', Bidaoui S. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
59', Karlsson O. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
59', Radrezza I. ↓, Polito V. ↑,
65', de Boer K. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Curcio A. ⚽,
73', Aloi S. 🟨,
81', Melgrati R. 🟨,
82', 2 - 1, Donati F. ⚽,
84', Curcio A. ↓, Carboni M. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Cianci P. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 1, Ferrante A. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 2.

Ternana is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SPAL is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ternana is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.24	Sestri Levante - Ternana	0:1 ✺
25.10.24	Ternana - Rimini	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Sassari Torres - Ternana	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Ternana - Ascoli	3:1 ✺
07.10.24	Ternana - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTWT
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
29.10.24	SPAL - Pianese	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Arezzo - SPAL	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	SPAL - Pescara	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Campobasso - SPAL	4:0 ✺
04.10.24	Rimini - SPAL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.04.23	SPAL - Ternana	1:1
05.11.22	Ternana - SPAL	0:0
22.02.22	SPAL - Ternana	5:1
26.09.21	Ternana - SPAL	1:0
13.05.17	Ternana - SPAL	2:1
24.12.16	SPAL - Ternana	4:0

Ternana - SPAL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide