Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 12

Date: 29 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	SPAL		Pianese

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	1.95	3.3	3.75	Watch
	2.02	3.44	3.61
	2.03	3.36	3.63	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.95	3.25	3.59	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	3.63 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SPAL
46.9%

Draw
27.9%

Pianese
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

28.8%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

28.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SPAL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Pianese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

SPAL - Pianese Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Pianese will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 26. Bassoli A. 23. Arena M. 29. Nador S. 28. Calapai L. 5. Awua T. 10. Radrezza I. 20. Zammarini R. 19. Mignanelli D. 11. Rao E. 9. Karlsson O.	12. Boer P. (G) 15. Polidori M. 4. Remy M. 24. Chesti F. 77. Boccadamo A. 8. Simeoni L. 11. Odjer M. 23. Nicoli S. 21. Colombo M. 10. Mastropietro F. 73. Falleni A.
Substitutes
7. Antenucci M. 77. Bidaoui S. 3. Bruscagin M. 80. Buchel M. 33. D'Orazio L. 12. Galeotti C. (G) 90. Kane L. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 18. Ntenda J. 16. Sottini E.	67. Barbetti F. 99. Capanni G. 7. Da Pozzo L. 1. Filippis E. (G) 27. Frey D. 29. Indragoli G. 9. Mignani G. 5. Pacciardi F. 19. Papini A. 30. Proietto F. 22. Reali A. (G) 18. Reali S. 46. Sorrentino L. 25. Spinosa L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Boccadamo A. 🟨,
56', Remy M. ↓, Pacciardi F. ↑,
56', Mastropietro F. ↓, Spinosa L. ↑,
59', Karlsson O. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Rao E. ⚽,
74', Colombo M. ↓, Proietto F. ↑,
74', Boccadamo A. ↓, Frey D. ↑,
76', Falleni A. ↓, Mignani G. ↑,
83', Bassoli A. ↓, Sottini E. ↑,
83', Rao E. ↓, Buchel M. ↑,
83', Zammarini R. ↓, Bidaoui S. ↑,
85', Arena M. ↓, Bruscagin M. ↑,
89', Sottini E. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Mignani G. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

SPAL is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pianese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SPAL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

SPAL will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.24	Arezzo - SPAL	2:1 ✺
18.10.24	SPAL - Pescara	0:1 ✺
13.10.24	Campobasso - SPAL	4:0 ✺
04.10.24	Rimini - SPAL	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWL
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.24	Pianese - Gubbio	3:1 ✺
19.10.24	Rimini - Pianese	0:0 ✺
13.10.24	Pianese - Carpi	1:0 ✺
05.10.24	Milan Futuro - Pianese	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	Pianese - Sestri Levante	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWWL

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