Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nuovo Romagnoli (Campobasso)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
World	FIFA+ app


	Campobasso		SPAL

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.55	3	2.8
	2.52	3	2.87
	2.6	2.96	2.92	Watch
	2.5	3	2.62
	2.53	2.88	2.73	Watch
	2.55	3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.09)	2.97 ↓ (3.02)	2.77 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Campobasso
36.2%

Draw
30.8%

SPAL
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.1%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Campobasso's form might have worsened.

SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Campobasso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	37.5%	62.5%

Campobasso - SPAL Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for SPAL: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Forte F. (G) 6. Benassai F. 25. Calabrese B. 44. Bosisio M. 18. Pierno R. 8. Scorza C. 23. Pellitteri A. 19. Morelli G. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 73. Di Stefano L. 9. Di Nardo A.	1. Melgrati R. (G) 19. Mignanelli D. 23. Arena M. 26. Bassoli A. 28. Calapai L. 20. Zammarini R. 5. Awua T. 9. Karlsson O. 11. Rao E. 7. Antenucci M. 33. D'Orazio L.
Substitutes
14. Baldassin L. 21. Barbato E. 26. Bigonzoni M. 4. Celesia C. 3. Haveri K. 17. Lombari A. 33. Mancini D. 5. Mondonico D. 99. Muzi C. (G) 36. Serra A. 13. Soulemana A. 11. Spalluto S.	21. Bachini M. 3. Bruscagin M. 30. Camelio U. 12. Galeotti C. (G) 90. Kane L. . Meneghetti M. (G) 29. Nador S. 18. Ntenda J. 13. Polito V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Zammarini R. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Di Stefano L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Scorza C. ↓, Baldassin L. ↑,
67', Di Stefano L. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
68', D'Angelo Sonny ↓, Prezioso M. ↑,
68', Awua T. ↓, Radrezza I. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Di Nardo A. ⚽,
72', D'Orazio L. 🟨,
74', Karlsson O. 🟨,
78', Bosisio M. 🟨,
82', Di Nardo A. ↓, Spalluto S. ↑,
82', Pellitteri A. ↓, Serra A. ↑,
82', D'Orazio L. ↓, Camelio U. ↑,
82', Rao E. ↓, Bidaoui S. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Serra A. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 0, Forte R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Campobasso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Campobasso
Italian Serie C Group B
07.10.24	Ternana - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Pontedera - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Campobasso - Vis Pesaro	3:2 ✺
20.09.24	Gubbio - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Campobasso - Sassari Torres	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWWTL
- SPAL 2013
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.24	Rimini - SPAL	0:1 ✺
29.09.24	SPAL - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Milan Futuro - SPAL	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	SPAL - Carpi	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Sestri Levante - SPAL	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWW

Upcoming Matches