The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rimini 37.9%
Draw 29.5%
SPAL 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
27.6%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.5%
27.5%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rimini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rimini's form might have worsened.
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rimini than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rimini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rimini - SPAL Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Colombi S. (G) 4. Bellodi G. 9. Cernigoi I. 3. Falbo L. 5. Fiorini M. 80. Garetto M. 6. Gorelli M. 33. Langella C. 98. Lepri T. 23. Megelaitis L. 97. Parigi G.
1. Melgrati R. (G) 23. Arena M. (C) 5. Awua T. 26. Bassoli A. 80. Buchel M. 28. Calapai L. 33. D'Orazio L. 9. Karlsson O. 19. Mignanelli D. 11. Rao E. 20. Zammarini R.
Substitutes
20. Accursi D. 2. Brisku B. 46. Cinquegrano S. 77. Cioffi A. 30. De Vitis A. 29. Dobrev K. 25. Lombardi A. 28. Longobardi G. 10. Malagrida L. 21. Piccoli M. 8. Semeraro F. 34. Ubaldi L. 1. Vitali L. (G)
7. Antenucci M. 21. Bachini M. 77. Bidaoui S. 3. Bruscagin M. 30. Camelio U. 12. Galeotti C. (G) 90. Kane L. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 29. Nador S. 18. Ntenda J. 13. Polito V. 10. Radrezza I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Arena M. 🟨,
12', Bellodi G. 🟨,
19', Bellodi G. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Awua T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fiorini M. ↓, Piccoli M. ↑,
46', Cernigoi I. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
53', Malagrida L. ↓, Longobardi G. ↑,
60', Zammarini R. 🟨,
62', Karlsson O. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
74', Buchel M. ↓, Nador S. ↑,
75', Garetto M. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
79', D'Orazio L. 🟨,
83', Calapai L. ↓, Polito V. ↑,
83', Rao E. ↓, Bidaoui S. ↑,
83', Awua T. ↓, Kane L. ↑,
84', Nador S. 🟨,
88', Lepri T. 🟨,
90+3', Melgrati R. 🟨,
90+6', Cioffi A. 🟨,
90+6', Polito V. 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Rimini won 1.
Rimini is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches SPAL is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Rimini won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:14 (average 0.9:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Rimini won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).
Italy
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Colombi S. (G) 
Megelaitis L. 
Awua T. 
Buchel M. 
Karlsson O. 
Dobrev K. 
Bidaoui S. 
Kane L. 
Nador S. 
Ntenda J. 
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