Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Terranuova Traiana		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.05	1.88
	4.01	3.15	1.9	Watch
	3.99	3.08	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.01)	3.09 ↑ (3.08)	1.89 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Terranuova Traiana
22.8%

Draw
29.3%

Grosseto
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

29.5%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

29.3%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Terranuova Traiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Grosseto have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terranuova Traiana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Terranuova Traiana - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Sabelli P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Grosseto is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Terranuova Traiana won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Terranuova Traiana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Terranuova Traiana	6	2	2	2	11:9	2	8

Last Results with these Odds

Grosseto - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 47.86%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Terranuova Traiana
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.03.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Terranuova Traiana	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Terranuova Traiana - Foligno	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Prato - Terranuova Traiana	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Terranuova Traiana - Ghiviborgo	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Terranuova Traiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLTW
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
15.03.26	Grosseto - Scandicci	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Poggibonsi - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Grosseto - Orvietana	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Tau Altopascio - Grosseto	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Grosseto - Trestina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
09.11.25	Grosseto - Terranuova Traiana	4:0
09.02.25	Grosseto - Terranuova Traiana	1:2
13.10.24	Terranuova Traiana - Grosseto	3:2
14.05.23	Grosseto - Terranuova Traiana	0:0
23.04.23	Terranuova Traiana - Grosseto	1:1

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