Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Park Hall (Oswestry)

Referee: Putros S. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	S4C Clic, S4C


	The New Saints		Differdange 03

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.1
	1.78	3.3	4.75	Watch
	1.76	3.3	4.93
	2.30	3.15	3.16	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.6
	1.79	3.59	4.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.95)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	4.4 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
50.9%

Draw
27.9%

Differdange 03
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Differdange 03 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Differdange 03 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	7.5%	5%

The New Saints - Differdange 03 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - TNS (1.27) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: The New Saints will win (34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% – 99.23%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): The New Saints will win (17 of 22 users predict this - 77.27%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. TNS (votes: 18 - 75%). Differdange 03 (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Shepperd N. (G) 12. Godsmark-Ford H. 16. McGahey H. 6. Bodenham J. 3. Marshall J. 10. Redmond D. (C) 14. Williams D. 4. Corness D. 17. Williams J. 28. Wilson B. 8. Brobbel R.	84. Felipe (G) 14. Bedouret J. 5. Brusco T. 4. D'Anzico K. 25. Franzoni G. (C) 20. Rafa Pinto 55. Leandro Borges 32. Lempereur D. 10. Abreu A. 23. Hadji S. 7. Mfoumou A.
Substitutes
5. Astles R. 27. Canavan J. 9. Charles K. 11. Cieslewicz A. 19. Clark B. 64. Craig K. 30. Edwards J. (G) 18. Holden R. 24. Nadin J. 15. Oteh A. 2. Owen J. 26. Phillips L.	77. Bei G. 9. Buch A. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 34. El Idrissi A. 11. Haboubi A. 39. Jakobi L. 88. Mendes Alves P. 26. Mendes F. 22. Van Buggenhout A. (G)
Coaches
Harrison C.	Spitoni M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Abreu A. ⚽, Brusco T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Godsmark-Ford H. ↓, Craig K. ↑,
60', Craig K. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
67', Mfoumou A. ↓, El Idrissi A. ↑,
67', Rafa Pinto ↓, Jakobi L. ↑,
75', Redmond D. ↓, Clark B. ↑,
79', Corness D. ↓, Holden R. ↑,
79', Wilson B. ↓, Charles K. ↑,
79', Williams J. ↓, Oteh A. ↑,
79', Hadji S. ↓, Buch A. ↑,
81', Williams D. 🟨,
87', Abreu A. ↓, Haboubi A. ↑,
87', Franzoni G. ↓, Bei G. ↑,
90+2', Bei G. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Differdange 03's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, TNS is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Shkendija Tetovo - The New Saints	2:1 ET ✺
08.07.25	The New Saints - Shkendija Tetovo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.25	Ayr United - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
17.06.25	Larne - The New Saints	2:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
04.05.25	The New Saints - Gap Connahs Quay	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTTW
- Differdange 03
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Differdange 03 - Drita Gjilan	2:3 ✺
08.07.25	Drita Gjilan - Differdange 03	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.06.25	RAAL La Louvière - Differdange 03	0:0 ✺
26.06.25	UNA Strassen - Differdange 03	1:2 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
28.05.25	Differdange 03 - F91 Dudelange	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTWW

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