Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Municipal de la Ville de Differdange (Differdange)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)


	Differdange 03		Drita Gjilan

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3	Watch
	2.02	3.35	3.45	Watch
	2.02	3.33	3.61
	4.84	3.53	1.73	Watch
	2.25	3.25	3
	2.23	3.41	3.33	Watch
	2.14	3.33	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.12)	3.33 ↑ (3.25)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Differdange 03
39.1%

Draw
29.2%

Drita Gjilan
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

27.4%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Differdange 03 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Drita Gjilan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Differdange 03, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	57.1%	23.8%

Differdange 03 - Drita Gjilan Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Differdange 03 will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Drita will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Differdange 03 (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Drita (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Drita (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Differdange 03 (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Drita (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
84. Felipe (G) 4. D'Anzico K. 5. Brusco T. 14. Bedouret J. 25. Franzoni G. (C) 20. Pinto R. 55. Leandro Borges 39. Jakobi L. 32. Lempereur D. 23. Hadji S. 9. Buch A.	1. Maloku F. (G) 2. Krasniqi B. (C) 15. Bejtulai E. 3. Sheji B. 26. Ovouka R. 8. Limaj V. 14. Dabiqaj A. 36. Mustafa I. 25. Tusha V. 9. Manaj A. 7. Ajzeraj A.
Substitutes
10. Abreu A. 58. Camara R. 1. Da Costa E. (G) 34. El Idrissi A. 66. Gomes Ricciulli J. P. 88. Mendes Alves P. 26. Mendes F. 11. Namora M. 28. Pacheco E. 21. Rauch L. 17. Soares Delgado M. 22. Van Buggenhout A. (G)	77. Abazaj K. 22. Behluli L. (G) 18. Bonsu D. 6. Gomda H. 19. Krasniqi B. 23. Morina E. 94. Rexhepi L. (G) 66. Sylejmani E.
Coaches
Spitoni M.	Ramadani Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Buch A. 🟥,
15', Pinto R. 🟨,
44', Bejtulai E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Bedouret J. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Krasniqi B. (Pen),
64', Pinto R. ↓, Abreu A. ↑,
64', Franzoni G. ↓, Rauch L. ↑,
65', Franzoni G. 🟨,
72', Jakobi L. ↓, Namora M. ↑,
74', Namora M. 🟨,
74', Tusha V. ↓, Krasniqi B. ↑,
81', Brusco T. ↓, Gomes Ricciulli J. P. ↑,
86', Mustafa I. ↓, Abazaj K. ↑,
89', D'Anzico K. 🟨,
90+2', Limaj V. ↓, Morina E. ↑,
90+3', Felipe 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-2. 2nd leg.

Recent performances by Differdange 03 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Drita has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Differdange 03 could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Differdange 03 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Differdange 03 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Differdange 03 - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.2%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Differdange 03
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Drita Gjilan - Differdange 03	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Levadia Tallinn - Differdange 03	1:3 ET ✺
07.08.25	Differdange 03 - Levadia Tallinn	2:3 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
03.08.25	Differdange 03 - Atert Bissen	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.25	Differdange 03 - The New Saints	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWW
- FC Drita Gjilan
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Drita Gjilan - Differdange 03	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Drita Gjilan - FCSB	1:3 ✺
07.08.25	FCSB - Drita Gjilan	3:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.25	Drita Gjilan - Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
22.07.25	Copenhagen - Drita Gjilan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.08.25	Drita Gjilan - Differdange 03	2:1
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Differdange 03 - Drita Gjilan	2:3
08.07.25	Drita Gjilan - Differdange 03	1:0

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