Match Info

Date: 18 May 2021, Tuesday


	The Strongest		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.2	4	Watch
	1.83	4	3.6
	1.73	3.95	4.1	Watch
	1.77	4	3.75
	1.77	4.09	4.03
	1.88	3.75	3.8	Watch
	1.86	3.88	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.85)	3.98 ↑ (3.63)	3.87 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The Strongest
52.2%

Draw
23.6%

Santos
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.8%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

16.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The Strongest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

The Strongest - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches The Strongest is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santos is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The Strongest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match The Strongest is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches The Strongest won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-10.

Including matches at home between the teams The Strongest won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Strongest
Copa Libertadores
11.05.21	The Strongest - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
08.05.21	The Strongest - Royal Pari	The Strongest awarded ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Santos - The Strongest	5:0 ✺
28.04.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - The Strongest	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.04.21	The Strongest - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LLW
- Santos FC
Copa Libertadores
11.05.21	Santos - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
09.05.21	Santos - São Bento	2:0 ✺
06.05.21	Palmeiras - Santos	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Santos - The Strongest	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.05.21	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Santos - The Strongest	5:0
17.05.17	The Strongest - Santos	1:1
16.03.17	Santos - The Strongest	2:0
19.04.12	Santos - The Strongest	2:0

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