Match Info

Date: 11 May 2021, Tuesday


	The Strongest		Barcelona Guayaquil

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.87	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.9
	2.38	3.45	2.75	Watch
	2.18	3.55	2.95
	2.3	3.59	3.01
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.23	3.54	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.47)	3.5 ↑ (3.36)	2.93 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The Strongest
41.2%

Draw
26.8%

Barcelona Guayaquil
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

20.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The Strongest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

The Strongest - Barcelona Guayaquil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches The Strongest is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barcelona Guayaquil is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The Strongest could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches The Strongest won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
08.05.21	The Strongest - Royal Pari	The Strongest awarded ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Santos - The Strongest	5:0 ✺
28.04.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - The Strongest	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.04.21	The Strongest - Vinto Atlético Palmaflor	4:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.04.21	The Strongest - Boca Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 ?LLWL
- Barcelona Guayaquil
Copa Libertadores
04.05.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.05.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - Delfín	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - The Strongest	4:0 ✺
20.04.21	Santos - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
16.04.21	Mushuc Runa - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
28.04.21	Barcelona Guayaquil - The Strongest	4:0

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