The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
The Town 76.1%
Draw 15.6%
Sporting Kansas City II 8.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.4%
22.2%
12.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.8%
21.1%
11.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in The Town's performance.
Sporting Kansas City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for The Town than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with The Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City II than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
The Town - Sporting Kansas City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Montali F. (G) 72. Ibarra R. 27. Eisner W. 66. Cano A. 74. Mbumba A. 38. Mendoza E. 15. Medina C. 29. Spivey K. 80. Rodriguez M. 55. Adimabua N. 88. Baptista D.
91. Molinaro J. (G) 85. Lurot P. 89. Christiano L. 33. Clarke N. 45. Samways A. 44. Quintero G. 52. Tschantret M. 99. Uderitz B. 38. Goumballe M. 90. Alexandre M. 88. Donovan S.
Substitutes
44. Cowell C. 52. Donnery J. 2. Kikuchi Y. 22. Ling A. 50. Rajagopal R. 97. Ulrich L. (G) 99. Walwyn-Bent K.
35. Arellano B. 98. Barren B. (G) 84. Cruz-Ayala L. 76. Ortiz J. 49. Wantland Z.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Adimabua N. ⚽, Medina C. (A),
25', Ibarra R. 🟨,
35', 2 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Adimabua N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Spivey K. ↓, Rajagopal R. ↑,
46', Uderitz B. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Adimabua N. ⚽,
57', 3 - 1, Alexandre M. (Pen),
64', Quintero G. ↓, Arellano B. ↑,
65', Eisner W. 🟨,
71', Rodriguez M. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
71', Baptista D. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
76', Mbumba A. 🟨,
78', Mendoza E. 🟨,
80', Donovan S. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
In recent matches, The Town has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sporting KC II is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sporting KC II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, The Town has had a series of away games.
In this match, The Town is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).
Including home match between the teams, The Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
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Montali F. (G) 
Cano A. 
Mbumba A. 
Adimabua N. 
Lurot P. 
Alexandre M. 
Donnery J. 
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