The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
The Town 62.3%
Draw 19.7%
Ventura County 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.5%
21.1%
20.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.8%
19.7%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+1%)
The Town - Ventura County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Montali F. (G) 72. Ibarra R. 27. Eisner W. 66. Cano A. 74. Mbumba A. 15. Medina C. 30. Tsakiris N. 20. Fernandez N. 3. Marie P. 55. Adimabua N. 80. Rodriguez M.
31. Scott B. (G) 26. Miller H. 64. Pepe 66. Tsakiris M. 50. Dalgado R. 47. Kocevski J. 65. Musto T. 87. Arnold G. 24. Ramos R. 49. Vanney D. 30. Vivi Quesada G.
Substitutes
88. Baptista D. 44. Cowell C. 52. Donnery J. 60. Kikuchi Y. 38. Mendoza E. 50. Rajagopal R. 29. Spivey K. 89. Sweeney D. 99. Walwyn-Bent K.
55. Bucknor J. 73. Martinez E. 68. Middleby M. 91. Pratt O. (G) 60. Saribekyan L. 83. Sullivan N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
14', Kocevski J. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Adimabua N. ⚽, Rodriguez M. (A), Medina C. (A2)
26', 2 - 0, Marie P. ⚽,
34', Miller H. 🟨,
42', 3 - 0, Rodriguez M. ⚽, Marie P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Dalgado R. 🟨,
60', Marie P. 🟨,
64', Marie P. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
64', Adimabua N. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
64', Rodriguez M. ↓, Mendoza E. ↑,
64', Arnold G. ↓, Sullivan N. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Tsakiris N. ⚽,
77', Ramos R. ↓, Bucknor J. ↑,
77', Vanney D. ↓, Saribekyan L. ↑,
77', Tsakiris N. ↓, Rajagopal R. ↑,
84', Fernandez N. ↓, Spivey K. ↑,
84', Tsakiris M. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
84', Vivi Quesada G. ↓, Middleby M. ↑,
88', 4 - 1, Kocevski J. (Pen),
90+1', Cowell C. 🟨,
90+2', Cano A. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
The Town has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Ventura County has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, The Town has had a series of home games.
In this match, The Town is a strong favorite.
We predict that The Town will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, The Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, The Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).