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Current Win Probability
Oita Trinita 28.5%
Draw 29.8%
Fagiano Okayama 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
30%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
30.2%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Oita Trinita - Fagiano Okayama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Hamada T. (G) 18. Nodake J. 25. Ando T. 34. Fujiwara Y. 2. Kagawa Y. 11. Watanabe A. 26. Yasuda K. 6. Yumiba M. 4. Satsukawa A. 29. Utsumoto S. 93. Nagasawa S.
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 15. Motoyama H. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 44. Semba T. 17. Sueyoshi R. 27. Kimura T. 10. Tanaka Y. 9. Gleyson
Substitutes
17. Haneda K. 13. Isa K. 27. Matsuo Y. 5. Nakagawa H. 24. Nishikawa K. (G) 31. Sousa Pereira M. 7. Umesaki T.
8. Gabriel Xavier 1. Hotta D. (G) 16. Kawano R. 99. Lucao 29. Saito K. 5. Yanagi Y. 25. Yoshio K.
Coaches
Katanosaka T.
Kiyama T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Utsumoto S. 🟨,
45+3', Ando T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Utsumoto S. ↓, Matsuo Y. ↑,
52', Yanagi T. 🟥,
56', Tanaka Y. ↓, Kawano R. ↑,
66', Gleyson ↓, Lucao ↑,
67', Kimura T. ↓, Gabriel Xavier ↑,
78', Kagawa Y. ↓, Umesaki T. ↑,
78', Yasuda K. ↓, Haneda K. ↑,
79', Sueyoshi R. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
79', Semba T. ↓, Yanagi Y. ↑,
83', Watanabe A. ↓, Isa K. ↑,
88', Yumiba M. ↓, Nakagawa H. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 2.
Recent matches Oita Trinita is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Okayama in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recently Oita Trinita have a series of guest games.
Okayama will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.
Watch
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Hamada T. (G) 
Brodersen S. (G) 
Gleyson 
