Match Info

J3 League - Round 8

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.33	3.15	2.8
	2.4	3.23	2.95	Watch
	2.38	2.9	2.9
	2.34	3.23	3.02	Watch
	2.33	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.08)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
38.9%

Draw
29.2%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.8%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kondo I. (G) 4. Funabashi Y. 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 8. Yamauchi R. 15. Kazama K. 7. Nishimura Y. 27. Fujimura R. 38. Konishi H. 9. Aoki S. 17. Yamanaka A.	32. Lee Chung-won (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 45. Tanaka S. 39. Shimokawa Y. 50. Yasuda K. 34. Kawai T. 20. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. 41. Sakai S. 11. Hashimoto K. (C)
Substitutes
36. Adachi S. 32. Kawata A. 14. Kikuchi K. 21. Kim Je-hee (G) 23. Onozeki T. 20. Shimokawa T. 2. Tagashira R. 22. Takahashi Y. 18. Tanaka S.	55. Aoki K. (G) 35. Egawa G. 10. Inoue R. 5. Kato T. 13. Nakano K. 6. Okuma K. 27. Watanabe S. 25. Yokokubo K. 18. Yoshizawa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Kuroki K. 🟨,
20', Ohata R. 🟨,
37', Sakai S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Sakai S. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
67', Yamanaka A. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
67', Aoki S. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
76', Kawai T. ↓, Okuma K. ↑,
76', Okumura K. ↓, Yoshizawa S. ↑,
78', Kazama K. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
78', Konishi H. ↓, Shimokawa T. ↑,
83', Fujimura R. ↓, Onozeki T. ↑,
85', Yoshizawa S. 🟨,
90+2', Ano M. ↓, Nakano K. ↑,
90+2', Shimokawa Y. ↓, Egawa G. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Thespakusatsu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tegevajaro Miyazaki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Thespakusatsu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:4 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
23.03.25	Nara Club - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gainare Tottori	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
30.03.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kagoshima United	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagoya Grampus	0:3 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
16.03.25	Tochigi City - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	3:2 ✺
09.03.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWLLT

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