The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thespakusatsu Gunma 28.6%
Draw 27.5%
Vegalta Sendai 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
27.3%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
26.7%
49.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vegalta Sendai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Thespakusatsu Gunma - Vegalta Sendai Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sendai will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Kondo I. (G) 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 14. Kikuchi K. 38. Konishi H. 27. Fujimura R. 2. Tagashira R. 7. Nishimura Y. 20. Shimokawa T. 17. Hyakuda M. 99. Nakashima T.
29. Matsuzawa K. (G) 3. Okuyama M. 5. Sugata M. 44. Inoue S. 15. Minami S. 6. Matsui R. 42. Ishii H. 26. Yokoyama S. 10. Kamada H. 7. Araki S. 18. Umeki T.
Substitutes
36. Adachi S. 69. Izuma S. 88. Kim Je-hee (G) 29. Matsumoto K. 25. Nakano R. 37. Sehata G. 4. Tamashiro T. 18. Tanaka S. 6. Yonehara S.
55. Han Ho-gang 2. Igarashi S. 27. Iwabuchi H. 19. Mateus Moraes 20. Nakada Y. 14. Sagara R. 37. Sugiyama Y. 41. Takahashi I. (G) 8. Takeda H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Ohata R. ⚽, Fujimura R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Umeki T. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
46', Minami S. ↓, Igarashi S. ↑,
56', Matsui R. 🟨,
61', Araki S. ↓, Takeda H. ↑,
61', Yokoyama S. ↓, Sagara R. ↑,
64', Shimokawa T. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
64', Fujimura R. ↓, Yonehara S. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Takeda H. ⚽, Ishii H. (A),
75', Nose S. 🟨,
76', 1 - 2, Sugata M. ⚽,
79', Tagashira R. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
79', Konishi H. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Takeda H. ⚽,
86', Nakashima T. ↓, Izuma S. ↑,
87', Matsui R. ↓, Sugiyama Y. ↑,
89', Yonehara S. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 1.
Thespakusatsu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sendai is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In this match, Sendai is seen as the favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Thespakusatsu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Thespakusatsu Gunma - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 24.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Vegalta Sendai - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 48.02%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
Watch
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Kondo I. (G) 
Kim Je-hee (G) 
Mateus Moraes 
