Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Sagamihara		Vegalta Sendai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.55	3.35	1.88	Watch
	3.5	3.88	1.92
	3.3	3.84	1.98	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.75
	3.97	3.48	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.97)	3.63 ↑ (3.61)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sagamihara
25.7%

Draw
25.4%

Vegalta Sendai
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

25.7%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

24.8%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Vegalta Sendai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegalta Sendai than the current prediction. (+4%)

Sagamihara - Vegalta Sendai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Min-ho (G) 3. Pytlik K. 37. Yamauchi R. 13. Tokida M. 2. Watahiki K. 4. Shimakawa T. 17. Takeuchi T. 10. Nakayama R. 24. Sugimoto R. 16. Takano R. 9. Sasaki K.	33. Hayashi A. (G) 22. Takada R. 5. Sugata M. 19. Mateus Moraes 2. Igarashi S. 6. Matsui R. 42. Ishii H. 8. Takeda H. 10. Kamada H. 7. Araki S. 27. Iwabuchi H.
Substitutes
14. Ando T. 15. Maeda T. 18. Miki K. 11. Muto Y. 19. Okita S. 22. Sugimoto D. (G) 23. Takusari Y. 7. Tanahashi A. 6. Tokunaga Y.	1. Hotta D. (G) 44. Inoue S. 11. Kobayashi K. 17. Kudo A. 15. Minami S. 3. Okuyama M. 14. Sagara R. 37. Sugiyama Y. 18. Umeki T.
Coaches
Stalph Y.	Moriyama Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Pytlik K. 🟨,
30', Tokida M. 🟨,
45+2', Takano R. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Igarashi S. ⚽, Takeda H. (A),
45+5', Araki S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', Araki S. ↓, Kobayashi K. ↑,
65', Nakayama R. ↓, Tokunaga Y. ↑,
75', Takano R. ↓, Tanahashi A. ↑,
75', Takeuchi T. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
79', Kamada H. ↓, Sagara R. ↑,
79', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Umeki T. ↑,
84', Sasaki K. ↓, Okita S. ↑,
84', Shimakawa T. ↓, Takusari Y. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Umeki T. ⚽,
89', Takeda H. ↓, Kudo A. ↑,
89', Ishii H. ↓, Sugiyama Y. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Sugiyama Y. ⚽, Sagara R. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).

Sagamihara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sendai is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Sendai is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sagamihara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 J3 League
04.04.26	Tochigi City - Sagamihara	1:0 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Sagamihara	2:3 penalties ✺
21.03.26	Sagamihara - Yokohama FC	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Vegalta Sendai - Sagamihara	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Sagamihara - Tochigi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLLW
- Vegalta Sendai
Japan J2 J3 League
04.04.26	Vegalta Sendai - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Blaublitz Akita - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 penalties ✺
22.03.26	Montedio Yamagata - Vegalta Sendai	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Vegalta Sendai - Sagamihara	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Vegalta Sendai - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
14.03.26	Vegalta Sendai - Sagamihara	3:1

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