Match Info

2nd Division - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Thisted		VSK Aarhus

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.20	2.15
	2.95	3.20	2.12
	2.85	3.49	2.32
	2.83	3.56	2.3	Watch
	2.70	3.40	2.30
	2.93	3.28	2.18
	2.95	3.45	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.2)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	2.21 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Thisted
31.8%

Draw
27%

VSK Aarhus
41.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.3%

27.2%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

27.2%

44.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thisted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

VSK Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thisted than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VSK Aarhus than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Thisted - VSK Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thisted won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Thisted (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by VSK Aarhus have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Thisted could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

VSK Aarhus is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Thisted has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:18 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Thisted against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:8 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Thisted FC	26	12	7	7	34:25	9	43
7	VSK Aarhus	26	10	9	7	33:26	7	39

Last Results with these Odds

Thisted - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.26%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

VSK Aarhus - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 44.55%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thisted FC
Danish 2 Division
10.10.26	Hellerup - Thisted	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Thisted - Roskilde	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	B.93 Copenhagen - Thisted	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Thisted - Brabrand	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Næstved BK - Thisted	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLWL
- VSK Aarhus
Danish 2 Division
11.10.26	Nykøbing - VSK Aarhus	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	VSK Aarhus - Brabrand	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	VSK Aarhus - Skive IK	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Middelfart - VSK Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
13.09.26	VSK Aarhus - B.93 Copenhagen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
15.08.26	VSK Aarhus - Thisted	3:1
07.03.26	VSK Aarhus - Thisted	0:0
16.08.25	Thisted - VSK Aarhus	2:2
Danish Landspokal Cup
31.08.21	VSK Aarhus - Thisted	3:2
Danish 2 Division - Group 1
30.05.21	Thisted - VSK Aarhus	1:1
24.10.20	VSK Aarhus - Thisted	2:2
Danish 2 Division - Group 2
12.10.19	VSK Aarhus - Thisted	1:0

Upcoming Matches