Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 13

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Thorsvollur (Akureyri)

Referee: Jonsson J. I. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Onefootball


	Thor Akureyri		KR Reykjavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	6.75	1.28
	6.25	5.30	1.32	Watch
	7.32	7.23	1.29
	8.47	6.34	1.29	Watch
	6.85	7.15	1.26
	7.61	5.98	1.30	Watch
	7.00	6.60	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.11 ↑ (5.51)	6.48 ↑ (5.23)	1.29 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Akureyri
13.1%

Draw
14.4%

KR Reykjavík
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

17.5%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

17%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Akureyri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

KR Reykjavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KR Reykjavík's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thor Akureyri than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KR Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Thor Akureyri - KR Reykjavík Predictions

Users Predictions: KR Reykjavík will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stefansson A. (C) 18. Ingason S. 19. Ragnarsson R. 2. Arnarsson A. 20. Ottosson V. 16. Brynjolfsson B. 15. Kristjansson K. 8. Halldorsson E. 22. Hlynsson A. 37. Gunnarsson S. 25. Jakobsen C.	1. Ingolfsson S. (G) 21. Eyjolfsson G. 7. Palmason F. 4. Akoto M. 26. Tomasson H. 17. Rae L. 23. Traustason A. 77. Kjartansson O. 30. Karason S. 11. Sigurdarson A. (C) 45. Gudmundsson G.
Substitutes
21. Baldvinsson E. 17. Gislason F. 30. Helgason P. 27. Hjorvarsson N. 3. Hlynsson B. 26. Jonsson K. 23. Kristjansson I. 28. Lalic F. (G) 4. Runarsson H.	20. Arnorsson T. 19. Cosic A. 8. Geirsson S. 12. Georgsson H. (G) 18. Ragnarsson J. E. 9. Saebjornsson E. 28. Sigurdsson H. 5. Styrmisson B. 22. Thordarson A.
Coaches
Hoskuldsson S.	Thorvaldsson O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Hlynsson A. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Halldorsson E. ⚽,
13', 3 - 0, Stefansson A. ⚽,
36', 3 - 1, Gudmundsson G. ⚽, Rae L. (A),
42', Tomasson H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Karason S. ↓, Saebjornsson E. ↑,
52', Gunnarsson S. 🟨,
57', Ottosson V. ↓, Hlynsson B. ↑,
64', Tomasson H. ↓, Sigurdsson H. ↑,
64', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Cosic A. ↑,
71', 3 - 2, Sigurdarson A. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Ragnarsson R. 🟨,
75', Eyjolfsson G. 🟨,
79', Ingason S. ↓, Gislason F. ↑,
83', Hoskuldsson S. 🟨,
84', 3 - 3, Eyjolfsson G. ⚽, Sigurdarson A. (A),
86', Jakobsen C. ↓, Runarsson H. ↑,
86', Kristjansson K. ↓, Baldvinsson E. ↑,
88', Eyjolfsson G. 🟨,
90+5', Runarsson H. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor won 1.

Thor has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

KR Reykjavík's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, KR Reykjavík is the clear favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Thor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:23. (average 1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KR Reykjavik	24	14	5	5	80:52	28	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Akureyri
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.06.26	Thor Akureyri - Valur	2:4 ✺
21.06.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Thor Akureyri	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Thor Akureyri - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:4 ✺
31.05.26	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Keflavík - Thor Akureyri	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- KR Reykjavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.06.26	Keflavík - KR Reykjavík	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	KR Reykjavík - Akraness	5:3 ✺
16.06.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - KR Reykjavík	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	KR Reykjavík - KA Akureyri	5:3 ✺
26.05.26	KR Reykjavík - Valur	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.04.26	KR Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	5:2
Icelandic League Cup
27.02.21	Thor Akureyri - KR Reykjavík	0:4
09.04.17	KR Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	4:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
04.10.14	KR Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	4:1
10.07.14	Thor Akureyri - KR Reykjavík	2:0
07.08.13	Thor Akureyri - KR Reykjavík	1:3
16.05.13	KR Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	3:0

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